TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$319,753
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$344,218

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $319,753 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over1c97,314$982 inLost-$982.493,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over3c19,931$555 inLost-$555.078,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over2c12,231$232 inLost-$232.471638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over2c9,368$211 inLost-$210.6919037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over2c7,991$164 inLost-$164.4772722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4dfb…f0ffbacked Over2c4,428$102 inLost-$101.84520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-69.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over2c4,400$106 inLost-$105.9475729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb7c…7c86backed Over1c4,325$60 inLost-$59.55320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over2c3,768$67 inLost-$66.8936031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa52d…99dabacked Over2c3,631$80 inLost-$806212.9%8 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick10cpaid+120%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over3c3,433$94 inLost-$94.2514323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Over2c3,260$68 inLost-$67.814422.7%10 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+182.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over2c2,399$52 inLost-$52.2878835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over2c1,812$41 inLost-$40.5163544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9d…01d7backed Over2c1,800$43 inLost-$43.21020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over2c1,738$38 inLost-$37.738329.8%114 W · 269 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over2c1,606$38 inLost-$38.161,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Over2c1,523$37 inLost-$36.568713.8%12 W · 75 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d93…5c45backed Over2c1,203$30 inLost-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over2c1,076$18 inLost-$17.569826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over1c1,016$10 inLost-$10.463,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x114a…f1d1backed Over2c1,000$20 inLost-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick8cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4ca…6f9ebacked Over2c983.71$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x702a…26f9backed Over2c952.38$20 inLost-$20385.3%2 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-66.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69a7…7248backed Over2c831.74$19 inLost-$19.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Over2c800$17 inLost-$16.813826.1%36 W · 102 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over2c800$17 inLost-$16.85330.2%16 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23d0…55ffbacked Over3c766.4$19 inLost-$19.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over2c704.01$13 inLost-$12.831,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad7…6117backed Over2c703.75$17 inLost-$16.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over2c700$14 inLost-$1447127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Over2c652.17$15 inLost-$1522846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over2c637.53$11 inLost-$11.2430039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over2c600$12 inLost-$1243826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Over2c510.17$11 inLost-$11.4812428.2%35 W · 89 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c35…fb29backed Over2c500$12 inLost-$123312.1%4 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11a1…7afebacked Over2c499.98$10 inLost-$10.514043.6%61 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.