France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05604abd685002c464f7a7d6d11b8270820cb3025fe03998fd61e3cd27d4e0cf

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $127,659
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $137,933

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,659 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x86f6…8993backed Yes	19c	10,048$1,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,874.18	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa85c…a55ebacked Yes	19c	7,609$1,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,460.93	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	17cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	19c	7,324$1,367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,367.27	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Yes	17c	5,880$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.6	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe424…d6e3backed Yes	1c	3,794$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.98	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes	19c	3,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	304	31.3%95 W · 209 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes	17c	2,697$458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$458.02	200	36%72 W · 128 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7826…9d51backed Yes	19c	2,565$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd10…416fbacked Yes	16c	2,546$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.24	82	37.8%31 W · 51 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c44…fcd4backed Yes	18c	1,562$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.54	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Yes	18c	1,539$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.02	69	30.4%21 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	15c	1,530$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.7	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Yes	18c	1,379$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f75…6c7ebacked Yes	17c	1,169$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98f0…a5debacked Yes	16c	1,026$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.14	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No	80c	1,000$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	303	45.2%137 W · 166 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ae…143abacked Yes	17c	999.9$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.98	116	32.8%38 W · 78 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90e0…21a2backed Yes	20c	944.69$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.7	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd742…79e4backed Yes	18c	926.77$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.82	102	34.3%35 W · 67 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Yes	14c	925.33$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.55	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes	18c	763.06$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.35	1,019	31.6%322 W · 697 L	-10.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4acb…e264backed Yes	20c	750$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	47	23.4%11 W · 36 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13b3…7801backed Yes	20c	686.11$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	102	23.5%24 W · 78 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c76…182dbacked Yes	8c	639.74$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	15.8%3 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-67.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe64…9b75backed Yes	17c	612.35$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.88	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc246…14c6backed No	79c	604.42$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5932…f4a9backed Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2546…2a2fbacked Yes	18c	563.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	18c	558.92$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.11	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeffb…34b8backed Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e0a…db34backed Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x888c…19f9backed Yes	18c	553.53$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	89	33.7%30 W · 59 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Yes	20c	531.62$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	103	39.8%41 W · 62 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe7c…7334backed Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	14.6%7 W · 41 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2190…bee9backed Yes	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	46	13%6 W · 40 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-44%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No	80c	500$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	289	45.3%131 W · 158 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Yes	19c	472.1$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.03	153	25.5%39 W · 114 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe48…2ac2backed Yes	15c	450$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.5	22	13.6%3 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.13per pick	27cpaid	-79.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1a3…04c3backed Yes	23c	438.54$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes	9c	430.33$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	669	32.1%215 W · 454 L	+16.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Yes	17c	427.16$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.62	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe34b…a233backed Yes	23c	426.55$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.87	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8038…8b15backed Yes	19c	417.47$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.32	27	22.2%6 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35f1…a30fbacked Yes	20c	400$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes	17c	399.94$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.99	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db2…680abacked Yes	20c	390$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.35per pick	35cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes	17c	386$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.17	127	9.4%12 W · 115 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-50.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9723…593fbacked Yes	7c	368.43$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5de3…3ad2backed Yes	17c	367.02$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.39	67	37.3%25 W · 42 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed Yes	18c	358.33$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.5	259	37.5%97 W · 162 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2911…2a0dbacked Yes	20c	342.75$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.55	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cec…91cdbacked Yes	15c	340$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	17	5.9%1 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.11per pick	17cpaid	-87.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6c96…959fbacked Yes	4c	328.3$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.46	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	-6.7wins	-0.11per pick	26cpaid	-69.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4f6…1c6fbacked Yes	17c	321.23$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.98	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.20per pick	30cpaid	+79.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5247…deafbacked Yes	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.7	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	34cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb379…1a28backed No	80c	299.99$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	83	44.6%37 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d86…9241backed Yes	18c	277.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	120	20.8%25 W · 95 L	-6.0wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-31%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes	11c	262.77$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.86	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x776f…32b7backed Yes	19c	251.68$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.82	52	26.9%14 W · 38 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34ab…dc7ebacked Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-57%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f27…ea7cbacked Yes	20c	250$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	-35.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa1…3807backed Yes	19c	238.81$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-4.0wins	-0.16per pick	48cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes	16c	237.32$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.49	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Yes	11c	224.3$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.68	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e6…0329backed Yes	18c	222.22$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.14per pick	21cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Yes	13c	211.2$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.86	253	28.1%71 W · 182 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77ef…9a31backed Yes	18c	210$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.8	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd9…0d8cbacked Yes	20c	200$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	35cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes	17c	197.95$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.24	950	37.5%356 W · 594 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b63…03d6backed Yes	18c	178.89$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.2	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…0efdbacked Yes	19c	176.61$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcda4…5981backed Yes	18c	175.61$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.61	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Yes	14c	159.97$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.2	219	37.9%83 W · 136 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x620e…d3c3backed Yes	20c	159.15$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.83	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x315b…d386backed Yes	13c	155.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	192	25%48 W · 144 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb31c…d21cbacked Yes	18c	152.89$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.52	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-70.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes	20c	150$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9576…a0cdbacked Yes	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8525…46d6backed Yes	17c	147.06$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7e…06a2backed Yes	18c	138.89$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	149	46.3%69 W · 80 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb253…68a9backed Yes	19c	137.81$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.84	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa33b…17d4backed Yes	16c	137.5$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-2.4wins	-0.14per pick	32cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	11c	134.37$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.21	54	29.6%16 W · 38 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	24cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4daa…ed8ebacked Yes	18c	132.94$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.93	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x00fd…88dfbacked Yes	19c	130$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4268…b5d8backed Yes	20c	124.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.63	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.7wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Yes	18c	124$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.95	984	39.2%386 W · 598 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…cc30backed Yes	20c	120.79$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.84	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+4.0wins	+0.25per pick	31cpaid	+71.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes	17c	120$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd5b8…233abacked Yes	17c	120$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ccf…8e1dbacked Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+3.1wins	+0.10per pick	39cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa90e…81e1backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-2.6wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-53.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b43…b68cbacked Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	79	30.4%24 W · 55 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5d7…78dcbacked Yes	22c	115.51$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	24cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf33…0353backed Yes	18c	112.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	93	49.5%46 W · 47 L	+8.3wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51c7…17e4backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	62	27.4%17 W · 45 L	+4.9wins	+0.08per pick	19cpaid	+93.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xba84…b857backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	+1.1wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x896e…b02abacked Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-2.6wins	-0.21per pick	30cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xacdd…8710backed Yes	18c	111.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?this page
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
France vs. Spain: France 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: France O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 4.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 5.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5Under won
France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5Under won
France vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceSpain won
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Spread: France (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: France (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: France (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: France (-4.5)Spain won
Spread: France (-5.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)France won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)France won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event