TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe7c…7334

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Middle East, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick) — its least-bad Category, not a recommendation. Every Category this wallet trades grades at or below 50, which is what “no edge at all” looks like.

Best Category Middle East at 50 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4814.6%7 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.94
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+344.4%+$344.44
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+203%+$304.55
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.28
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.99
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$238
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$577Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$577
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,195.7%+$597.87
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.22
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+124.1%+$183.69
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.71
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.41
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.06
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.54
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.15
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.56
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.2
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-54%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.41
T20 World Cup: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
T20 World Cup: South Africa vs New Zealandbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$99.9
Will West Indies win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.37
T20 World Cup: India vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$165.73
Will Pakistan reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$33.5
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$60.5
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealandbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+185.7%+$137.8
T20 World Cup: India vs Zimbabwebacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$104
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+212.5%+$68
T20 World Cup: England vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$80.08
T20 World Cup: Zimbabwe vs West Indiesbacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
T20 World Cup: India vs Pakistan (Game 1)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$276
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Night Agent: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$161.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.