TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$236,629
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$272,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $236,629 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 462 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0f1c…82c6backed No67c64,031$42,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,884.1910653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9441…98babacked Yes33c12,121$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,121.213520%7 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No28c11,811$3,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,291.242,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Yes32c9,748$3,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,628.8517852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Yes33c6,500$2,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,35531152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No58c5,860$3,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,397.1729646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f03…ec6abacked Yes33c5,210$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,490.567824.4%19 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked No64c5,075$3,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,256.537757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked No67c5,001$3,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,336.8318843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed No24c4,323$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.0727034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked No40c3,271$1,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.3145145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5630…de7fbacked Yes33c3,030$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,030.31154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked No31c3,020$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.3258049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa05e…4394backed No68c2,941$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x718a…5d86backed Yes37c2,703$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.883231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Yes36c2,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6009752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29bb…3aa6backed Yes42c2,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.958235.4%29 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b75…f7e6backed Yes33c2,348$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+51.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x583c…b03bbacked No44c2,249$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001010%1 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-81.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes50c2,229$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.148,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes33c2,017$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.275729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf58c…d588backed No26c1,925$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004327.9%12 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed No67c1,841$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.5421450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No67c1,607$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.662,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d01…4acdbacked Yes42c1,583$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.33450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Yes33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.1513454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a8…5204backed Yes33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.157122.5%16 W · 55 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7b…f9f9backed Yes33c1,515$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.151353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked No42c1,491$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.3224540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes50c1,441$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.162,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xacb7…c93fbacked No50c1,426$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$708.945541.8%23 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-38.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa97d…3874backed Yes69c1,317$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.2710318.4%19 W · 84 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51d5…79ddbacked No44c1,037$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.34233.3%14 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5c5…2e6bbacked Yes55c1,024$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.723844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Yes37c1,012$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.3740655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5a6…d556backed Yes33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6708341%34 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Yes55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45013953.2%74 W · 65 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5db9…e95fbacked No68c999.92$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No67c999.79$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.8630345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d3…b50abacked Yes52c964.02$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.021030%3 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed No3c922.41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.671375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e1f…c855backed Yes33c909.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.091030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ff3…a0e8backed Yes33c909.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.093056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9a4…5dedbacked Yes33c909.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.09742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+32.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No68c908.5$618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.7834455.5%191 W · 153 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No22c900.9$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.3921239.6%84 W · 128 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664f…868cbacked Yes33c857.66$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.681656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed19…b6ffbacked No63c846.32$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.333650%18 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c2c…6b2abacked Yes37c824.12$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No31c774.11$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6364850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe888…74fdbacked Yes33c757.58$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.5827128.4%77 W · 194 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6e…b45bbacked Yes36c750$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b8…b472backed Yes54c700$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.56439.1%25 W · 39 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ebb…7b26backed Yes33c683$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3910…0799backed No16c625.81$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb6…25eabacked Yes33c614.13$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.621625%4 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-45.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27a8…a5c2backed Yes33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.06450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x799d…3ca1backed Yes33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.06875%6 W · 2 L+3.5wins+0.44per pick31cpaid+321.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Yes33c606$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.0237350.1%187 W · 186 L+45.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No67c585$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.9597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x561b…837ebacked Yes31c549.98$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed No47c515.03$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4925638.7%99 W · 157 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a6…cb72backed Yes39c500.25$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.156237.1%23 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e52…44e7backed Yes33c500$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3358442.9%36 W · 48 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x830c…22d0backed Yes71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-33.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No67c499.91$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9428945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No61c488.18$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.662,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x400b…8458backed No22c458.72$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.92616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-47.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21af…f272backed Yes33c454.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.5510100%10 W · 0 L+5.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+139.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa7b8…0d4cbacked Yes33c454.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.555123.5%12 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe7c…7334backed Yes33c454.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.554814.6%7 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34f1…8ff4backed Yes42c419.36$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.362626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3230…9cfcbacked No67c399.98$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b20…ef6ebacked Yes33c393.94$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.944422.7%10 W · 34 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Yes58c392.59$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.9325328.1%71 W · 182 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd978…d50abacked Yes33c385.59$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.35650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Yes32c375$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25523336.9%86 W · 147 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed No7c368.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4811329.2%33 W · 80 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4dd…4d0dbacked Yes77c354.34$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.34633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-52.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e4e…8413backed Yes35c330$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.52568%17 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcb9f…a6c0backed Yes67c319.96$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.55944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+127.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf577…61dfbacked Yes33c315.06$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc6b…6bc0backed Yes66c303.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.463871.1%27 W · 11 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+35.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe002…152bbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.033946.2%18 W · 21 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e76…c40ebacked Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.031010%1 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-69.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x62a6…3461backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.03825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f9…060bbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.034845.8%22 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+44.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d7…22a5backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.037929.1%23 W · 56 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f8…d847backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+75.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5333…a1fabacked Yes33c303$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.013033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Yes33c302.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.9520851%106 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Yes33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2016734.3%23 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce2…0ab4backed Yes66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.161346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9619…0591backed Yes45c295.85$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.914141.5%17 W · 24 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb39a…91a2backed Yes33c295.64$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.081435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde4b…b1b9backed Yes39c289.74$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.7410038%38 W · 62 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf301…dd70backed No68c283.81$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.995855.2%32 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked No26c279.25$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6466932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.785639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf72b…ee8fbacked Yes73c274.89$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.89366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.