TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,254,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,403,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,254,181 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 492 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over60c134,383$81,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,285.9342345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under39c125,738$49,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76,614.662,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c116,218$58,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,686.834,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa47d…2c4abacked Over0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100140%0 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4cd…a98dbacked Under39c76,740$29,929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,811.461450%7 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over61c65,333$39,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,85314248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under39c58,547$22,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,836.6136250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed Over61c52,000$31,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,7206053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Over61c50,000$30,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,50010740.2%43 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Over61c45,787$28,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,129.886114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under47c42,802$20,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,705.9544130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Over61c33,993$20,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,735.8320448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc5d8…a00bbacked Over61c26,000$15,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,860771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+81.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over58c25,000$14,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,499.9974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Over61c23,755$14,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,490.621444.4%95 W · 119 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x447f…a05ebacked Over62c21,827$13,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,628.113562.9%22 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4301…f601backed Over61c20,000$12,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,199.982931%9 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over60c17,530$10,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,51875335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Under39c14,528$5,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,861.8210556.2%59 W · 46 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under39c13,649$5,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,325.893,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb38a…3293backed Over24c12,500$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+30.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Under38c12,500$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,749.862147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+86%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fa1…792fbacked Under39c12,205$4,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,437.612751.9%14 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under61c11,585$7,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,565.343,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over34c11,056$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.586728.4%19 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Under41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,90018837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Over60c9,717$5,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,827.9523230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under39c9,000$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,489.9923949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a7…5f5ebacked Over53c9,000$4,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,769.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under38c8,959$3,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,554.2770244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over60c8,364$5,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,018.3216947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb61b…8a06backed Over58c8,088$4,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,691.025959.3%35 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdeb8…2fd0backed Over62c7,857$4,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,871.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Over60c7,700$4,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,642.972832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+86.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over59c7,627$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.931,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under78c7,303$5,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.5541331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over45c7,275$3,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,262.1727032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed Over3c6,737$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.8711942.9%51 W · 68 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over62c6,666$4,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,132.9219037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over5c5,822$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.961,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Over61c5,319$3,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,244.598938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafee…881ebacked Under39c5,128$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.21520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under39c5,110$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,108.0913746.7%64 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc522…7f28backed Under39c4,829$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,945.734856.3%27 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x712e…0485backed Under39c4,700$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,864.996749.3%33 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over0c4,686$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8627227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under78c4,359$3,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.6937650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over38c4,254$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.436234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over60c4,143$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,471.952,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf0f…3f10backed Under39c3,350$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,043.698740.2%35 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c90…5b3ebacked Over45c3,050$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under39c3,030$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.9324635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9f…17bcbacked Over59c2,996$1,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,767.641816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over24c2,967$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6db1…869fbacked Under39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.11464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+28.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5072…17bebacked Over51c2,524$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30011747%55 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dab…c5c1backed Over39c2,453$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.811711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-80.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over41c2,389$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.8825339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under63c2,362$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.8829740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Under41c2,349$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.9116050.6%81 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcea…545bbacked Under64c2,343$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.37862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under38c2,288$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.093,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ef4…f90abacked Over45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.97930.4%24 W · 55 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under38c2,216$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.833,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under38c2,161$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.8940655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over61c2,110$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.221,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under38c2,100$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3021,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over60c2,097$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.9753629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under36c2,083$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.123,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under47c2,072$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.5226841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Over61c2,049$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25010549.5%52 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Over32c2,001$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6507754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfce…5c3ebacked Under38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2408560%51 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…2839backed Over55c1,988$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1003852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over62c1,982$1,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e86…6dfbbacked Under48c1,981$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc482…b505backed Under41c1,864$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.634967.3%33 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over36c1,770$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.742,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under38c1,694$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.424058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe30c…9499backed Over60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005435.2%19 W · 35 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Over60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under46c1,656$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.092,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over43c1,589$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.622,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over33c1,529$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0434…438fbacked Over61c1,523$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ee…70b4backed Under47c1,463$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Under69c1,456$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.964774.5%35 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over61c1,365$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.7297742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Over37c1,319$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.1810537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Under38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.7922951.1%117 W · 112 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda63…b031backed Over18c1,309$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24013933.1%46 W · 93 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over61c1,306$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.23,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c71…bdf6backed Over62c1,290$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Under39c1,286$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.4518051.1%92 W · 88 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52fc…5edfbacked Under39c1,285$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.852725.9%7 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1743…e614backed Under39c1,282$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.0511132.4%36 W · 75 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c1,272$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.178,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de0…9dd5backed Over62c1,266$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over60c1,254$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.451,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc88f…d893backed Under42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.4810932.1%35 W · 74 L-9.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.