Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60dd9eb4bcc94c6f9e9ecd8d2ddf2b290f1adba1cdcc566f5e2284606db39a41

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $373,505
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $377,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,505 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over	2c	26,718$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.33	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	1c	23,444$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.85	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb465…0d8dbacked Over	2c	22,072$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.47	49	8.2%4 W · 45 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5f…43dabacked Over	2c	12,500$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.5	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	+336.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Over	2c	10,000$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.37	59	11.9%7 W · 52 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+220.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb7c…7c86backed Over	0c	9,214$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.31	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over	2c	9,126$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.4	190	37.4%71 W · 119 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58de…9169backed Over	0c	7,000$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.6wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb67c…80edbacked Over	2c	6,057$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.96	50	22%11 W · 39 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+217.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4737…a54abacked Over	2c	5,995$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	12cpaid	+46.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e0a…db34backed Over	2c	5,830$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1568…7e8fbacked Over	2c	5,789$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	2c	5,208$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.19	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x760c…5a5dbacked Over	2c	4,627$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.01	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+46.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Over	2c	4,379$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.44	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over	2c	3,682$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.57	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5309…3815backed Over	2c	3,659$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	11cpaid	-58%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x999f…addbbacked Over	2c	3,629$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over	3c	3,572$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.47	285	26.3%75 W · 210 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Over	2c	3,513$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.57	275	20.4%56 W · 219 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce1…8dc0backed Over	2c	3,319$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x12c3…a470backed Over	2c	3,029$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	46	13%6 W · 40 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Over	2c	2,280$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	626	6.7%42 W · 584 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Over	1c	2,192$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.92	131	22.1%29 W · 102 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4911…5a6cbacked Over	2c	2,189$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6314…0183backed Over	2c	2,030$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.46	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-1.5wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa47d…2c4abacked Over	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c3a…eb16backed Over	2c	1,902$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.61	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x779c…b96fbacked Over	2c	1,884$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	123	22%27 W · 96 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x945e…e42abacked Over	2c	1,854$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3974…cb78backed Over	2c	1,777$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	4cpaid	+693.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b1…7064backed Over	1c	1,560$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.3	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.17per pick	3cpaid	+233.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75c5…5bbabacked Over	2c	1,350$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over	2c	1,254$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.94	383	29.8%114 W · 269 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over	21c	1,205$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.74	585	30.9%181 W · 404 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ba0…89b2backed Over	2c	1,200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Over	2c	1,154$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.72	337	29.1%98 W · 239 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x71f5…0a02backed Over	2c	1,111$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	68	16.2%11 W · 57 L	+4.5wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	+80.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked Over	2c	1,079$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	223	43.9%98 W · 125 L	+5.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bd…eab2backed Over	2c	1,040$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-1.7wins	-0.10per pick	28cpaid	-59.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b1a…3852backed Over	2c	999.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	132	17.4%23 W · 109 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Over	1c	978.91$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.73	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Over	2c	949.96$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	141	19.9%28 W · 113 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	2c	943.33$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.15	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0791…d81fbacked Over	2c	882.35$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd95c…7dd1backed Over	2c	875.6$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	53	24.5%13 W · 40 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Over	2c	800$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.14	456	27.9%127 W · 329 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x305f…86c0backed Over	2c	792.16$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-68%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0a…7fb2backed Over	2c	790$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.43	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab60…ac53backed Over	2c	789.47$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	30cpaid	-82.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e3f…6e55backed Over	2c	777$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.99	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Over	2c	700$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	118	11.9%14 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over	2c	684.21$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	146	12.3%18 W · 128 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7842…06b9backed Over	2c	652.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.05	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeedb…f631backed Over	2c	625$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf89…6568backed Over	2c	625$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	49	10.2%5 W · 44 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa265…bd3ebacked Over	2c	586.67$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.56	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Over	2c	550$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.45	332	21.7%72 W · 260 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cc9…47f2backed Over	2c	526.32$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	242	26.4%64 W · 178 L	-9.4wins	-0.04per pick	30cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Under	50c	499$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$249.5	44	70.5%31 W · 13 L	+10.8wins	+0.24per pick	46cpaid	+67.2%equal weight	67+0.16 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5this page
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain won
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Spain won
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Argentina won
Spread: Spain (-5.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event