TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,872
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,613

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,872 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84fe…778ebacked Over18c2,733$500 inLost-$5002128.6%6 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick12cpaid+95.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over19c775.82$147 inLost-$147.262,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under80c736.61$589 inWon+$147.321,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fdc…dfabbacked Over20c474.5$95 inLost-$94.912039.2%47 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over18c314.61$57 inLost-$57.1375729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over5c218.33$11 inLost-$10.9276445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under79c207.08$164 inWon+$43.382,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x999f…addbbacked Over18c202$36 inLost-$36.362927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Over22c196.49$43 inLost-$42.9128822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc8e…e4a3backed Over20c184.5$37 inLost-$36.93033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-30.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over18c149.79$27 inLost-$26.9629813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80e7…32ccbacked Over21c143.48$30 inLost-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over19c140$27 inLost-$26.62,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe855…1139backed Over13c119.99$15 inLost-$15.23026.7%8 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick14cpaid+104.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3432…4ee4backed Over19c105.26$20 inLost-$205020%10 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over20c100.07$20 inLost-$20.048,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x069b…4b1abacked Over20c100$20 inLost-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x470b…1885backed Over19c84.32$16 inLost-$16.022313%3 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-49.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb25…b180backed Over19c84$16 inLost-$15.966929%20 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over18c56$10 inLost-$10.082,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb32a…5d9ebacked Over20c50$10 inLost-$103915.4%6 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x227d…91efbacked Over20c50$10 inLost-$1040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.