TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,056
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,265

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,056 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over14c11,850$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.752,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60c1…0438backed Over15c10,020$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5032634.6%9 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over16c10,001$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.961,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over15c7,074$1,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.6475729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Over5c5,623$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012647.6%60 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac3…78a5backed Over17c5,377$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.394847.9%23 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over13c4,730$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.992,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over15c4,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60016747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over16c3,881$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.1678835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0a7…5f5ebacked Over5c3,762$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over15c3,399$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.538,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa539…18a8backed Over16c2,721$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed Over16c2,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over2c2,311$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6225244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over3c2,270$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.81,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc9e1…e5e1backed Over14c2,111$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.571060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over2c2,089$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa47d…2c4abacked Over5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100140%0 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30015054%81 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over11c1,677$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.522,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc930…64d9backed Over16c1,485$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.6230%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e81…258dbacked Over14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20d7…2c14backed Over16c1,217$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7330%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a33…3a4fbacked Over15c1,199$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.851145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+55.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Over14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17ef…e727backed Over16c977.81$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.457630.3%23 W · 53 L-8.0wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Over14c928.57$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13041231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed Over15c866.67$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13025937.5%97 W · 162 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over11c748.54$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.094,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over14c734$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.762,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over14c714.28$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf17…5c20backed Over15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004639.1%18 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Over15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01cc…c1e3backed Over14c661$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.542520%5 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8733…5460backed Over16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100849.5%8 W · 76 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e76…37acbacked Over8c600$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457610.5%8 W · 68 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x999f…addbbacked Over14c600$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Over17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+39.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75ea…1616backed Over16c555$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.83426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.7wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-50.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over11c518.93$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.222,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over5c518$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.741,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a8…7cffbacked Over15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7540%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd577…048cbacked Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43c6…dfc7backed Over5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-73.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x882c…8148backed Over10c472$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.62339.1%9 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick24cpaid+63.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over9c465.66$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.552,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Over14c421.97$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0828945.3%131 W · 158 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a4…ed34backed Over16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647534.7%26 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc330…5266backed Over15c371$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.65156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf56d…c3d9backed Over16c350$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56345.9%2 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick16cpaid-84%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over14c335.53$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.529813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x845f…e3b0backed Over15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-57.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c59…11acbacked Over15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503112.9%4 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-38.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe981…1859backed Over15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010918.3%20 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4b…dce1backed Over15c330$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.540%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Over4c317.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.315232.7%17 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+38.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x893a…5485backed Over16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458838.6%34 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0381…b653backed Over17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-76.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over6c286$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.042,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb282…cde9backed Over15c271.4$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.715232.7%17 W · 35 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf8f…77b0backed Over15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over12c200.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6625643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd7…0ecfbacked Over5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x227d…91efbacked Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over13c192.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9532837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4453…fc75backed Over15c190.93$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.641526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x213b…ddb9backed Over16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301625%4 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-58.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fb9…68debacked Over16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-55.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8328…feb3backed Over16c182.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308248.8%40 W · 42 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over14c180$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490e…123abacked Over15c159.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.892147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd334…6ec9backed Over15c158.27$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1caa…87c7backed Over16c156.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.05333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+164.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x640f…7361backed Over16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick20cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Over16c156.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535614.3%51 W · 305 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Over14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2128148.4%136 W · 145 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e8b…856ebacked Over44c136.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207930.4%24 W · 55 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c2f…d4cbbacked Over15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9300…d3b7backed Over16c131$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.961735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f70…1150backed Over16c129.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb702…32c1backed Over16c126.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaedb…3169backed Over16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea8f…62a9backed Over16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ee…7774backed Over16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209028.9%26 W · 64 L+0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked Over16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018426.1%48 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23df…cf8dbacked Over15c123.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over16c121.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4377433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x147d…7c03backed Over15c120.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.077157.7%41 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc482…f0bebacked Over17c118.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207729.9%23 W · 54 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed Over16c110$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.62832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-32.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49e…0d1fbacked Over15c106.67$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa588…7bfebacked Over15c101.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4877…e0a3backed Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152729.6%8 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb7…9a1dbacked Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-53.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157230.6%22 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.