TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Argentina (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spainof Argentina, Spain
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,320,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,315,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,320,317 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb857…7de7backed Argentina0c185,044$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Argentina5c103,486$4,657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,656.8822348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Argentina7c62,838$4,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,464.012,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Argentina9c50,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.9813331.6%42 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Argentina8c49,551$4,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,143.942,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Argentina5c42,460$2,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,229.163321.2%7 W · 26 L-7.2wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-56.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x09d2…26aebacked Argentina9c35,459$3,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0704129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Argentina6c28,265$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.6937223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Argentina7c25,725$1,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,887.525019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Argentina9c23,603$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.191,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Argentina9c22,289$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.572,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Argentina8c18,445$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5455328.3%15 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5f…43dabacked Argentina9c15,800$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3434420.5%9 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+336.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee39…c0fbbacked Argentina9c14,749$1,291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,290.574221.4%9 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Argentina8c14,585$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.9865835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed Argentina7c12,133$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.253327.3%9 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Argentina9c11,976$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,047.921,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Argentina7c11,468$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.481,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc12e…7c8abacked Argentina9c11,161$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005628.6%16 W · 40 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Argentina9c11,023$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.341711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick12cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Argentina9c10,642$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.572,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Argentina9c10,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85014234.5%49 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Argentina9c8,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70016831.5%53 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb442…bed7backed Argentina9c7,047$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6253441.2%14 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Argentina9c5,714$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Argentina9c5,714$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.984311.6%5 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Argentina9c5,555$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.1751315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Argentina5c5,502$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.186460.9%39 W · 25 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2568…ad68backed Argentina8c4,780$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004517.8%8 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+35.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Argentina8c4,671$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.72,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Argentina9c4,373$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.7672722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Argentina9c4,149$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.4560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Argentina9c4,099$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.9113550.4%68 W · 67 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Argentina8c4,056$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.198,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a36…0dc1backed Argentina0c4,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa47d…2c4abacked Argentina5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200140%0 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Argentina9c3,550$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.35917.7%7 W · 84 L-9.8wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-64.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed Argentina9c3,429$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012428.2%35 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed Argentina9c3,340$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.249633.3%32 W · 64 L-0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Argentina7c3,316$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2356331.7%20 W · 43 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Argentina9c3,191$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.2271638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff53…f5ecbacked Argentina9c2,822$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.854932.7%16 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Argentina9c2,800$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24521429.4%63 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65fe…c200backed Argentina7c2,765$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-50%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Argentina9c2,667$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.1998134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c67…30e9backed Argentina9c2,542$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.43540%2 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick15cpaid+190.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed Argentina9c2,510$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.628710.3%9 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-58.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Argentina5c2,500$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7552522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef8d…b115backed Argentina8c2,366$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010224.5%25 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c0…4cd4backed Argentina8c2,353$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Argentina9c2,238$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022626.5%60 W · 166 L+0.9wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10fd…a922backed Argentina7c2,143$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Argentina9c2,025$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.1935446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0c…9189backed Argentina9c2,000$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1752218.2%4 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Argentina5c1,998$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012123.1%28 W · 93 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Argentina9c1,865$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.419317.1%33 W · 160 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed Argentina2c1,833$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3046012.4%57 W · 403 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x379a…6f67backed Argentina5c1,764$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0984…5933backed Argentina9c1,653$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010836.1%39 W · 69 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Argentina8c1,648$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7814612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x410e…8e78backed Argentina9c1,599$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.671631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Argentina3c1,538$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d33…bc22backed Argentina9c1,506$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Argentina2c1,502$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303312.1%4 W · 29 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick27cpaid-52.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Argentina9c1,500$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2518510.8%20 W · 165 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Argentina4c1,482$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.584,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d01…ccfbbacked Argentina9c1,405$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+58.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x242d…9b5bbacked Argentina9c1,337$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Argentina9c1,325$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.6940239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Argentina5c1,306$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2431920.1%64 W · 255 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Argentina7c1,294$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.071,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x068d…2678backed Argentina2c1,238$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304725.5%12 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed Argentina9c1,234$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.977617.1%13 W · 63 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ec7…6aadbacked Argentina4c1,202$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502010%2 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Argentina9c1,200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10236349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f0b…2338backed Argentina8c1,192$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeece…ee6fbacked Argentina8c1,176$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002560%15 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+42.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7233…2e7bbacked Argentina8c1,149$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.64616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Argentina9c1,143$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Argentina9c1,143$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c7a…fdbebacked Argentina9c1,143$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009247.8%44 W · 48 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x155f…c61ebacked Argentina9c1,117$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick8cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x541c…a7ecbacked Argentina8c1,113$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.56918.8%13 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Argentina9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7789…a2cebacked Argentina9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006030%18 W · 42 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Argentina9c1,092$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.971,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Argentina9c1,061$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8197742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0a…4a63backed Argentina9c1,061$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.471118.2%2 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick6cpaid+883%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb53a…cdd4backed Argentina8c1,059$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-41%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked Argentina8c1,054$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.954327.9%12 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d59…b1b3backed Argentina5c1,053$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d91…a0dbbacked Argentina9c1,013$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4cc…6135backed Argentina9c1,010$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3816428.7%47 W · 117 L+9.9wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf33…b5f8backed Argentina9c999.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8520017%34 W · 166 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Argentina9c999.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859741.2%40 W · 57 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Argentina9c999.28$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7987938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2960backed Argentina9c981.94$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.92616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3b…e920backed Argentina3c937.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256328.6%18 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x813b…e606backed Argentina9c902.02$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804124.4%10 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c8…6de4backed Argentina9c800$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70120%0 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.