Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95039146f8c3532ecabac03e5812557ecbe583137cf40a75c82f631101b20a83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 77c | 5,394$4,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,155.92 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked Under | 30c | 2,376$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.98 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab45…f5e0backed Under | 23c | 2,194$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.74 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 77c | 1,878$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.07 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44da…c794backed Under | 23c | 1,610$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over | 62c | 1,422$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.16 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 23c | 1,135$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.83 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Over | 78c | 999.95$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.96 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 22c | 968.14$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.15 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 23c | 715.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.31 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 23c | 700.16$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.06 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…19bdbacked Over | 74c | 693.86$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 23c | 670.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.66 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 39c | 581.12$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.31 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 63c | 522.02$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.36 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…69e5backed Under | 23c | 469.57$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.57 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 53c | 463.92$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.11 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under | 23c | 450$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +186.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Under | 30c | 424.53$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.57 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeece…ee6fbacked Under | 25c | 424$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…9dcdbacked Over | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 63c | 303.91$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.57 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cf…34d4backed Over | 69c | 290.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7621…944bbacked Over | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1d…78d4backed Over | 79c | 252.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…31dcbacked Over | 60c | 230$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5f…b8efbacked Over | 46c | 196.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 43c | 186.19$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.34 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 41c | 179.64$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.9 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce59…d222backed Over | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…e535backed Under | 49c | 139.51$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…3b4dbacked Under | 23c | 126.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…c503backed Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc499…f793backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 23c | 89.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.29 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ab…c326backed Over | 57c | 69.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 24c | 67.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…fc63backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 221 | 47.5%105 W · 116 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…3b73backed Over | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ce…7f8dbacked Over | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 22c | 62.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.55 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Under | 62c | 56.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…d862backed Over | 78c | 51.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Under | 49c | 48.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…c57fbacked Over | 77c | 48.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 68c | 47.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324f…15b1backed Under | 36c | 44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02be…a2eabacked Over | 77c | 36.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cd…775dbacked Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x241d…bb60backed Over | 78c | 33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Over | 53c | 31.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 77c | 29.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed Under | 47c | 27.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…e60ebacked Over | 77c | 25.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7903…c735backed Over | 77c | 25.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee6f…92d9backed Over | 77c | 25.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 42c | 24.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…e6c9backed Over | 71c | 22.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 53c | 21.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb3…e68cbacked Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…1baabacked Over | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6985…afdfbacked Over | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85fa…d3aebacked Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5this page
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.