TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x353b…e535

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
261
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT9456.4%53 W · 41 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 94 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$59.8
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.22
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.76
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$70.58
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.36
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$26.18
Lamine Yamal: 2+ shotsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+227.9%+$105.19
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+74.7%+$203.66
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.35
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.93
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.39
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.04
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$68
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.76
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.97
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$145.31
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$20
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$36.13
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+81.7%+$55.97
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$73.97
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$139.43
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+308.2%+$59.32
Showing 25 of 94 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT6547.7%31 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+247.3%+$37.09
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or higher on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+101.4%+$15.22
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.22
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+213.7%+$32.06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.67
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+113.8%+$15.93
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+68.6%+$19.22
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+91.2%+$25.54
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.54
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.21
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+129%+$16.77
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+72%+$18.72
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT4763.8%30 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification ATP: Maks Kasnikowski vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$243.66
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Pegula (+1.5)backed Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$98.07
Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.79
Cincinnati Open: Alexander Blockx vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.04
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$25.34
Cincinnati Open: Christopher O'Connell vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Kamil Majchrzak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.5
Swiatek vs. Rybakina: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.44
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Kostyuk (+1.5)backed Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$148.07
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.23
Set Handicap: Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)backed Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.17
National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marcos Gironbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$55.78
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.87
Estoril Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$16.47
Generali Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$45.07
Set Handicap: Basilashvili (-1.5) vs Torres (+1.5)backed Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+116.7%+$22.62
Iasi Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+98.5%+$36.08
Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Sebastian Baezbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.72
Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Jerome Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.41
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$227.31
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$34.63
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$95.55
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$27.25
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.67
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.21
Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$85.05
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$31
Will HNK Hajduk Split vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Will Górnik Zabrze vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$38.65
Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$105.05
Will FC Thun win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.13
Will KKS Lech Poznań vs. FC Thun end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
KKS Lech Poznań vs. FC Thun: KKS Lech Poznań 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.72
KKS Lech Poznań vs. FC Thun: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.63
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.28
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Team to Advancebacked Rangers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.96
Will Górnik Zabrze win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$29
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$82.49
Paris Saint-Germain leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$24.05
Will GKS GieKSa Katowice win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.78
Will RKS Raków Częstochowa vs. Hammarby Fotboll end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.08
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$77.47
GKS GieKSa Katowice vs. MŠK Žilina: Team to Advancebacked MŠK Žilina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.52
Will GKS GieKSa Katowice win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.33
Valletta FC vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: Valletta FC O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.59
Valletta FC vs. RKS Raków Częstochowa: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.46
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.44
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.26
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$27.29
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$166.04
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.93
Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Górnik Zabrze O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.63
Will KKS Lech Poznań vs. Aarhus GF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.55
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.47
Aarhus GF vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.18
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.13
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$216.32
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$171.19
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$48.84
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$43.85
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.3
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Metsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$37.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$27.73
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$13.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Red Bulls vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$259.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$24.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.