TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$325,546
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$314,490

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $325,546 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 200 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x90d4…c7c8backed Yes31c51,320$15,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,753.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No72c21,809$15,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,206.1856439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes11c18,380$2,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,021.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed Yes20c17,525$3,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,505.076023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes19c15,789$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.9150249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No65c13,146$8,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.1282844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes19c11,081$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,105.391717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-71.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x994e…6136backed No78c10,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2001100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes19c8,016$1,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,548.671,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No40c7,791$3,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,642.0514951%76 W · 73 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes19c7,482$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.553,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No67c7,010$4,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,302.4239338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c6,680$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.664,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No76c4,759$3,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,152.322853.6%15 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes46c4,372$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No80c3,441$2,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.25440.7%22 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69d0…6732backed Yes6c3,336$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes80c3,005$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick72cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes62c2,994$1,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,870.64540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes3c2,888$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6760732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x088e…bc56backed Yes20c2,500$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-33%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No64c2,465$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.5518956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb78…f224backed Yes24c2,290$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick22cpaid+258.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-63.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Yes25c1,996$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012250%11 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No64c1,989$1,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.0521950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No65c1,655$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.444738.3%18 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No80c1,651$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.1968050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes31c1,559$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.921,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No80c1,416$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.215459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No65c1,389$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.022147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed2e…402abacked Yes22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+227.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No74c1,346$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.156764.2%43 W · 24 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab9d…cf12backed Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.059466%62 W · 32 L+11.2wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7f6…e517backed Yes50c1,273$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$635.61450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes20c1,228$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.525147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Yes18c1,200$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.034663%29 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc4f1…2fa5backed Yes26c1,163$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No80c1,119$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.862,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes19c1,029$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2175051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43022335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcd0…b719backed Yes20c999.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+135.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes19c998.7$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7569350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6aca…e738backed Yes5c924.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9730%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa457…a061backed No80c911$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes20c900$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808525.9%22 W · 63 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-28%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Yes30c861.75$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.32875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+65.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes23c712.89$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5933734.7%117 W · 220 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5141…ea1cbacked Yes22c706.28$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+227.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No77c690.74$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.731,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes31c637$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked No63c635$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.95966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x09b0…a3b6backed No63c635$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.951070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+46.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed01…83a8backed Yes4c625$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-57.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Yes33c615.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No72c586.33$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.6533244%146 W · 186 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes20c585$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11711849.2%58 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6519…611bbacked Yes20c521$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No63c516.88$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.22352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes4c475$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191520%3 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No59c461.82$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.359154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes19c457.89$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-66%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No69c442.19$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.77642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes21c423.45$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.93742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+72.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8063757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes54c371$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8514942.3%63 W · 86 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed Yes7c350$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked No60c344.78$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No79c332.38$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.83050%15 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a0…b873backed Yes52c323.93$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.95633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7062…9f54backed No80c301.25$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Yes20c300.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.123043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No77c286.18$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.921643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked No66c282.35$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.721831.7%69 W · 149 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes36c269.28$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5711154.1%60 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Yes37c268.38$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2611251.8%58 W · 54 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes23c265.01$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.126740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebfd…0ef8backed Yes63c253.97$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+72.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc306…3bb9backed Yes40c247.68$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No19c246.89$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.981040%4 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick18cpaid+77.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes15c244.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.081631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes52c240.58$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12513426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Yes25c240$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603638.9%14 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ce5…17f9backed Yes21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked No56c229$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.724852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes50c215.69$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4713243.2%57 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes34c212.92$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9858548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0944…358fbacked No74c210.15$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.491827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-58.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf5bc…c93dbacked No73c205$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes21c200.07$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.473043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1330…b4b5backed Yes20c199.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a56…c6e0backed Yes52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed No80c190.72$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7810055%55 W · 45 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ee2…de75backed Yes21c190$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes10c188.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.86616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-76.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Yes20c186.7$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.342240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4bd…f540backed Yes39c183.21$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes6c182$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9410943.1%47 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x353b…e535backed Yes20c176.32$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.26633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.