TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x69d0…6732

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 53 out of 100; worst World Politics at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.28
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Club Cerro Porteño end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+740.2%+$2,155.81
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.29
CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$32.71
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$103
Will SE Palmeiras vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+121.5%+$308.1
Will EC Bahia vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$222.42
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.49
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$759Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$598.87
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$27.4
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.19
Will CA Mineiro vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$119.01
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$20
Club Nacional de Football vs. CA Tigre: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.26
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$407Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$406.55
Will Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$751.9
Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
Will EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.19
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,937Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$2,414.74
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+307%+$1,476.52
France vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.23
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.37
France vs. England: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$799.99
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,976.58
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,948Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$753.83
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,625Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,624.57
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,448.34
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$6,533Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$1,663.32
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,830Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,830.28
All 13 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hammarby Fotboll vs. RSC Anderlecht: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.49
HNK Hajduk Split vs. Páfos FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,208Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$412.63
Will FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.92
FC St. Gallen vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$190.47
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$132.22
Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$149.33
Will MŠK Žilina vs. HNK Hajduk Split end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.95
SK Dinamo Tbilisi vs. US Mondorf-les-Bains: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.74
Will St Joseph's FC vs. Bohemian FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$35.51
Will Ilves Tampere vs. FC Déifferdeng 03 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.7
Will Pyunik FA vs. Marsaxlokk FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.55
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$11.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$212.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannover 96 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.76
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.