Premier League · resolved market
Will Watford FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86c1266caca549a653bf828369dcd885d5d20e3fba9546e295eb1eb2d9940359
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 27c | 7,500$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,024.99 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 1,759$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.58 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2128…da98backed No | 80c | 1,663$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.19 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.7wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 73c | 1,519$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.81 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 3c | 1,108$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 73c | 1,100$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 980.5$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.47 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 73c | 912.63$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.02 | 504 | 50%252 W · 252 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 73c | 689.65$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.21 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Yes | 13c | 591.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 73c | 544$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.88 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 73c | 540.64$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.97 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 27c | 399.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 398.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 27c | 308.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd0…b719backed Yes | 27c | 262.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 78c | 194.44$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 593 | 32.9%195 W · 398 L | -30.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 155.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed No | 73c | 153.42$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 70c | 147.87$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.08 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 73c | 137.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 12c | 119.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 73c | 118.49$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 73c | 116.44$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 21c | 109.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 107.14$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 122 | 33.6%41 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 27c | 106$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 18c | 98.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 78c | 90.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 73c | 90.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 26c | 81$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 24c | 65.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 64.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd7…93c2backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 60.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 26c | 52.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69d0…6732backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 77c | 48.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…f368backed No | 67c | 41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6669…42b5backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 50c | 29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 53c | 27.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 73c | 24.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e9…fb58backed No | 74c | 21.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +167.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5a…724cbacked No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e42…f5bbbacked No | 73c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 17.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 73c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 337 | 51.3%173 W · 164 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Watford FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-08-16?No won
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.