Premier League · resolved market
Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6ba9897d73553cb0be1bd5c13bf640536851d33b105c6d1257efa6cd13c0928
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 6,392$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.62 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked Yes | 46c | 4,701$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.14 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfd…95c4backed Yes | 28c | 4,237$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 73c | 3,958$2,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.34 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 3,277$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.8 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 36c | 3,067$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.98 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 36c | 2,185$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.15 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 78c | 1,562$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.52 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 63c | 1,427$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.9 | 382 | 33.2%127 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 71c | 1,409$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.99 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b0…5294backed Yes | 79c | 869.95$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…89c6backed Yes | 70c | 857.97$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 26c | 855.64$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.72 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 38c | 822.43$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.02 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 27c | 723.93$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.34 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed No | 45c | 700.17$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.69 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…5fdebacked No | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 54c | 545$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.3 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb6…9fe0backed Yes | 79c | 508.6$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 26c | 500$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.94 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 21c | 440.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…97cfbacked No | 39c | 415.32$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 38c | 414.74$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd08b…b74cbacked No | 71c | 411.51$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes | 60c | 360.08$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.33 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed Yes | 26c | 357.97$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.9 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad08…c58bbacked Yes | 80c | 307.11$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 293.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.18 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 24c | 286.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…c5b7backed No | 36c | 280.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed No | 21c | 261.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 30c | 249.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed No | 6c | 248.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 69c | 242.28$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…c372backed Yes | 27c | 222$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked No | 10c | 220.15$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 219.84$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.06 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked No | 16c | 208.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 49c | 206$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.44 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 76c | 190.21$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 52c | 188.74$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f22…1d6bbacked Yes | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed No | 54c | 179$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.66 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 33c | 161.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.79 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 75c | 153$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 15c | 146.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 212 | 50%106 W · 106 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 51c | 140$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 23c | 133.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 52c | 131.01$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.47 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 25c | 130.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 125 | 31.2%39 W · 86 L | -11.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…3c46backed Yes | 45c | 127.04$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1372…4ce0backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 69c | 125.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 14c | 119.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 19c | 113.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe200…1b78backed No | 18c | 110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 53c | 103$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6669…42b5backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 30c | 98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 26c | 93.65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked No | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c1…63a5backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 53c | 88.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 27c | 86.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes | 47c | 78.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 26c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.13 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 58c | 68.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x834d…0c31backed No | 30c | 67.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5891…4912backed Yes | 77c | 65.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 27c | 60.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7a…bdb5backed No | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…9dabbacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 74c | 57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.18 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 33c | 54.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 46c | 52$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +7.2wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 78c | 51.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…83a8backed No | 52c | 51.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…1511backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 46c | 48.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 74c | 46.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…96fbbacked Yes | 69c | 44.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…db39backed No | 73c | 42.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9207…d26ebacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…6575backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 69c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 413 | 43.3%179 W · 234 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Yes | 26c | 40.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 73cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Southampton FC win on 2026-08-16?No won
- Will Watford FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.