TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf762…d55f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
178
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Mls, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 56 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT4344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$8.6
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.68
Will KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will Tromsø IL vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will Atalanta BC vs. MH Hapoel Tel Aviv end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$146
Will FC Sion win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$106
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.96
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$13.25
Will OFI vs. PFK CSKA Sofia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
Will FC Twente vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.5
Will PAOK win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+220.5%+$137.58
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
Will Lincoln Red Imps FC win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$94.25
Will Larne FC win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.42
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.2
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.77
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2770.4%19 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.02
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$75.64
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$26.21
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$53.78
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78%+$87.63
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.01
Will Real Salt Lake vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$100
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$73.15
Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$50.88
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$94.4
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.55
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$20.99
Will Orlando City SC vs. Chicago Fire FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$53.69
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.8
Will Sporting Kansas City vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.03
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$65.3
Will Philadelphia Union vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$40.34
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$46
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$46.7
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.19
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.45
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92
Will Molde FK win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$34.28
Molde FK vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Sandefjord Fotball: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
SK Brann vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.8
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$145.99
GAIS vs. Malmo FF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
Kalmar FF vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.8
Will AIK win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.95
Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50.36
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$67.68
Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+74%+$85.05
FC Nordsjælland vs. Silkeborg IF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Odense BK win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$4.95
Odense BK vs. AC Horsens: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+143.2%+$93.55
Sønderjyske Fodbold vs. Viborg FF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-08-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will AIK win on 2026-07-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-07-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 25 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$42.32
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.98
Will CF América win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.77
Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.75
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$95.26
Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.1
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$7.7
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$31.7
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.2
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$59.84
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Independiente del Valle win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.72
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$28.72
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.74
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$49.03
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.95
All 25 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava vs. NK Celje end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.98
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$43.25
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will AEK win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$70.6
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.11
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$59.95
Will NEC win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$53.98
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. RU Saint-Gilloise end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.08
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.3
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$68.48
Will AC Sparta Praha win on 2026-08-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Will AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+117.6%+$108.09
AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will NK Celje win on 2026-08-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-33.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.44
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$52.8
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$58
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.24
Girona FC vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$67.31
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$109.1
Real Racing Club vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
All 13 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-35.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.91
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.62
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$11.22
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.34
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.94
Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Watford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will Derby County FC vs. Cardiff City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$132
Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Watford FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$106
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Watford FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.4
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.64
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.