Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5362919683aa6c52be57d24ba624ea9c62a4869ba6291b4f7197de82ea7ff337
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 29c | 5,836$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.83 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed No | 34c | 5,457$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 73c | 3,084$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 36c | 2,640$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.09 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 71c | 1,912$1,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.83 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 66c | 1,859$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.33 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…8b76backed Yes | 45c | 1,800$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed No | 38c | 839.95$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.18 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 69c | 672.24$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.09 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c1…9892backed Yes | 64c | 657.77$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Yes | 53c | 393.96$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.16 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Yes | 64c | 312.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.63 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 33c | 207.23$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a35…d6f9backed Yes | 71c | 207.14$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 49c | 200.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 70c | 179.14$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 68c | 176.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 13c | 166$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 30c | 149.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 74c | 141.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 74c | 133.81$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 36c | 109.8$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 68c | 99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 64c | 95.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Yes | 75c | 93.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 64c | 91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 14c | 89.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 64c | 83.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +28%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 73c | 81.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0af9…5bf2backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked No | 28c | 69.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…261abacked Yes | 71c | 68.23$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 72c | 64.96$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed No | 28c | 54.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 35c | 54.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 61c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 71c | 52.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 31c | 47.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4593…d369backed Yes | 61c | 45.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed Yes | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 67c | 41.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 77c | 40.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 70c | 33.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 71c | 27.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Yes | 53c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +8.9wins | +0.39per pick | 52cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x8f49…3377backed Yes | 72c | 23.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 71c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 71c | 21.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 76c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 49c | 20.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 63c | 15.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will FC Nordsjælland vs. Silkeborg IF end in a draw?No won
- Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.