TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x294f…eeab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.91
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.25
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$61.09
Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.75
Will Rīga FC win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.66
Will Jagiellonia Białystok win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$30.95
Will FC København win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.62
Will FC Red Bull Salzburg win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$58.9
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.97
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.28
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$45.08
Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.57
Will Hammarby Fotboll win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.51
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$51.35
Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.64
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$82.46
All 16 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.55
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.47
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$24.52
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.97
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.43
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$17.84
Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-08-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$36.14
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-07-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.35
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.07
Will Fagiano Okayama win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.82
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.48
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$55.67
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$12.6
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.71
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.25
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+125%+$88.84
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$43.16
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$63.41
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.78
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.09
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.34
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.72
Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.39
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.53
All 12 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick64cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.15
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$33.06
Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$21.44
Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$28.56
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$34.52
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.12
Will Odense BK win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.93
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.86
Will PSV win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.63
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+50.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$36.9
Will SG Dynamo Dresden win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$9.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$57.42
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$27.43
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie Alast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$46.56
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.