Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eec80989f3d5abd3f7930173cb4db6a834c9180eea718af7b63875c9f71661b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 57c | 6,138$3,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,521.9 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 57c | 2,270$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.55 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 43c | 2,183$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.18 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 43c | 1,869$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064.05 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 39c | 1,867$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.46 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc8…262bbacked Yes | 78c | 1,625$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 79c | 1,418$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.76 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 1,197$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.97 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 45c | 1,024$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe6…4a1bbacked No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +10.1wins | +0.26per pick | 31cpaid | +330.1%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 73c | 990.74$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.08 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 18c | 959.7$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 36c | 938.53$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.24 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 868.75$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.63 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 10c | 830.73$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.17 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 772$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.18 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked No | 24c | 625$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 64c | 556$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.75 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 12c | 372$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 19c | 278$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.18 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 61c | 268.8$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.06 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked No | 37c | 220.27$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yes | 48c | 166.47$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 62c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.81 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 36c | 143.74$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.82 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 42c | 137$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.46 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 42c | 123$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 42c | 123$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.34 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 47c | 122.64$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 58c | 98.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 58c | 97.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 61c | 94.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 43c | 82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.74 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 65c | 80.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 44c | 71.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Yes | 56c | 70.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 44c | 68.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…bcf9backed Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 61c | 51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 38c | 47.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked No | 24c | 47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…9d8bbacked Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 64c | 34.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes | 62c | 32.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Yes | 46c | 32.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 44c | 25.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 62c | 22.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…64fdbacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes | 57c | 18.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x289d…3641backed Yes | 66c | 16.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 69c | 14.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-13?this page
- Will FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda vs. FC Twente end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.