Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda vs. FC Twente end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f65b84afcd820b83f84df79cb58d9cdaced5af7fc5f010810e0a88e738ed92c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 24c | 6,000$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,532.66 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 76c | 1,608$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.31 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 1,571$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.2 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 1,355$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.8 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 1,210$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.22 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 60c | 831$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.07 | 127 | 70.9%90 W · 37 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 76c | 569$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.69 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 63c | 478.09$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.6 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 23c | 392.13$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.13 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 359$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.43 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 66c | 327.79$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.05 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 275$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.34 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 275$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.34 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 255.37$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.53 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 228.85$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.64 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 51c | 209$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.19 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 53c | 208.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 53c | 191.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 75c | 183$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.25 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 28c | 175$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 75c | 166$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.5 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 64c | 156.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 28c | 124$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 36c | 97.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.63 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 68c | 94.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Yes | 38c | 93.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 75c | 91.03$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 64c | 90.05$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.63 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 38c | 75.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 192 | 50.5%97 W · 95 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 20c | 75.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.28 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 57c | 69.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 17c | 62.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 77c | 62.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 80c | 55.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 65c | 43.84$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 76c | 41.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 67c | 36.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed No | 45c | 30.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 75c | 29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Yes | 67c | 25.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 75c | 21.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 69c | 18.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 77c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 108 | 63.9%69 W · 39 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda vs. FC Twente end in a draw?this page
- Will FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda win on 2026-08-13?No won
- Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.