South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1815cb5ca54c849c10f1ab3870494cefb8918432b62d629dd8a902d1da46f5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $123,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,865
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 25,218$12,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,345.34 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 51c | 22,660$11,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,589.55 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 37c | 17,108$6,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,294.88 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7e…4bb1backed Yes | 53c | 6,815$3,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,612.12 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 47c | 4,782$2,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.88 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 44c | 4,271$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.24 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 44c | 3,954$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.68 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 51c | 3,895$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.09 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed No | 57c | 3,509$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked No | 53c | 3,100$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 46c | 2,907$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.52 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 49c | 2,759$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.53 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 2,469$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.47 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Yes | 54c | 1,618$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 53c | 1,392$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.69 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 49c | 1,284$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.11 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 41c | 1,002$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.5 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 47c | 825.8$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.8 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…8eb4backed Yes | 48c | 743.29$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 50c | 601.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 51c | 563.61$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.56 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 52c | 562.62$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.71 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Yes | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed No | 53c | 506.46$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.04 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 53c | 493.54$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.96 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 27c | 493.09$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.43 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 31c | 465.96$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.09 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 51c | 427.19$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.5 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 49c | 424.12$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.64 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 29c | 418.76$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.64 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 50c | 411.5$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.46 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 48c | 388.61$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.87 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 56c | 339.32$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.91 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes | 46c | 312.61$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.63 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 40c | 306.14$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.36 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1082…48d3backed Yes | 52c | 283.8$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…f004backed Yes | 53c | 279$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 259.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 22c | 247.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 49c | 244.68$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.33 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 51c | 236.82$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.05 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Yes | 53c | 208.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.73 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 204.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed Yes | 48c | 202.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed No | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 50c | 193.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 23c | 190.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes | 20c | 178.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 50c | 177.01$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.67 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6920…d8debacked No | 79c | 169.9$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 49c | 144$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Yes | 49c | 137.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 12c | 129$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +10.8wins | +0.35per pick | 46cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 116.33$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 53c | 112.47$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 15c | 111.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…518cbacked Yes | 50c | 110.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ce…7d54backed Yes | 50c | 106$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…eefdbacked Yes | 44c | 106$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed Yes | 19c | 104.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…da77backed Yes | 50c | 104$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 53c | 103.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…3a8fbacked Yes | 48c | 101.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 50c | 100.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 37c | 98.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…e0e5backed Yes | 51c | 98.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…191cbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Yes | 48c | 82.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 53c | 77.44$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 53c | 73.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 16c | 70.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b32…3566backed No | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Yes | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed No | 52c | 64.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.15 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed No | 79c | 60.34$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 49c | 55.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 38c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcb…374bbacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 49c | 51.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ace…23d1backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 49c | 48.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Yes | 21c | 48.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will CA Paranaense vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.