TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6797…e0e5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
381
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT25863.2%163 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 258 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$154.55
US Open, Qualification ATP: Joel Schwaerzler vs Gustavo Heidebacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$222.42
US Open, Qualification ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rinconbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
US Open, Qualification ATP: Jacob Fearnley vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$67.39
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.01
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$166.72
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$243.09
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$97.49
Cincinnati Open (Doubles): Nys/Roger-Vasselin vs Luz/Matosbacked Luz/Matos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$94.59
Set 1 Winner: Cobolli vs Filsbacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.77
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$126.32
Cancun: Roman Safiullin vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$76.48
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$992Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$991.6
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Benjamin Hassanbacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$311.11
Roehampton: Anton Matusevich vs Oliver Tarvetbacked Oliver Tarvet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$104.19
Cancun: Moise Kouame vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Moise Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$96.9
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$153.39
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$261.08
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Sion: Benjamin Hassan vs Geoffrey Blancaneauxbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Tommaso Compagnucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Bejlekbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$316.16
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs O'Connell (+1.5)backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$116.06
Showing 25 of 258 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8256.1%46 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.43
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$117.02
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.52
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.38
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$86.06
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$187.63
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$198.05
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$211.74
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$72.62
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$278.63
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$211.3
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$204.44
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$81.43
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+40.3%+$52.59
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.58
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$403.17
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$124.44
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.5
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$96.09
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2564%16 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$144.95
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.8
Will LDU de Quito win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$543.68
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.24
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-08-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$140
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$412Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$411.93
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.4
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$116.79
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$149.08
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.45
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$98.41
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$182.06
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$654Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$266.96
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$310.19
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$19.95
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$79.41
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-07-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$206.88
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.33
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$240
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$34.57
Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.5
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$161
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$67.66
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$80.14
All 25 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$176.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-07-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.