TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$135,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $135,069 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x61d4…3593backed Yes75c11,974$9,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940.7829037.9%110 W · 180 L+1.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No34c11,936$4,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,002.8675240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes68c10,470$7,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,300.085,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8944…da4bbacked No7c9,344$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.9510933%36 W · 73 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No33c6,297$2,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,089.653,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No22c4,136$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.28,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No45c4,000$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.3826835.1%94 W · 174 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No8c3,998$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.1114530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a05…0dc0backed No12c3,725$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.296339.7%25 W · 38 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked No32c2,871$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.342416.7%4 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-77.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes77c2,842$2,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.012,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No26c2,792$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.3820036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad84…dcf1backed No23c2,459$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.511070%7 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes53c2,076$1,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.623254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No30c1,935$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.647723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No27c1,818$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.5310618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde39…2fa1backed No8c1,591$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0410828.7%31 W · 77 L+0.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Yes53c1,419$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.698139.5%32 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes54c1,287$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.6445746.8%214 W · 243 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No5c1,280$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.282910.3%3 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-86.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked No4c1,245$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.686251.6%32 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No5c1,221$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9815247.4%72 W · 80 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed No47c1,217$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.177248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes71c1,057$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.7399259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6c70…9168backed No32c1,045$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes77c957.42$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.211,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No23c956.52$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No5c831$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.649710.3%10 W · 87 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-72.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No4c828.76$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6316641.6%69 W · 97 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No12c731.25$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1982434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Yes70c710$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No5c688.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.831,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked Yes53c656.32$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.4712738.6%49 W · 78 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No20c640$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.183,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed No6c623.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.168818.2%16 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Yes71c551.12$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.055837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes77c512.26$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.491,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes75c507.81$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2846449.6%230 W · 234 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1f7…7656backed Yes79c503.86$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.863262.5%20 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No24c441.98$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.172,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed No6c425.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5410128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No20c398.44$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.811,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed Yes69c376.75$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.792564%16 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked No27c372.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.499920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No19c368.13$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9431039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No22c363.06$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7441654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed No11c348.12$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.29156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-84.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes75c340.2$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5221765.4%142 W · 75 L+24.1wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes57c328$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.331,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No5c300.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.11040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes58c300$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1275547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No21c279.28$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes71c275.48$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8976951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed No52c269.95$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3712340.7%50 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff7…7c28backed Yes77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.74955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked No8c234$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.721612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-70.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No23c222.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2955946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x36ab…d5a7backed No46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa429…ef32backed Yes48c203.46$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xabe2…f67bbacked No25c198.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No31c194.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1411354.9%62 W · 51 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf15e…80b5backed No39c194.2$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.743935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+70.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ea6…9223backed No6c190.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad7f…18cdbacked Yes67c180$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-41%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked No30c179.33$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.86038.3%23 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69d0…6732backed No38c161.28$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.291952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+47.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No21c160.8$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1695155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8452…a766backed No8c149.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.29955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No23c146.91$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.660156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd721…a97bbacked No20c138.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4b43backed Yes54c138.56$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.172157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b30…c687backed No27c136.73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.022520%5 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-60.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked No30c134.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3414753.7%79 W · 68 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes74c128.72$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9928665%186 W · 100 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ab…eefdbacked Yes73c116.95$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.092740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No24c114.06$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3730847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37ed…6c1dbacked Yes80c100.16$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.03650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Yes53c94.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.333040%12 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33cc…22ebbacked Yes64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.131163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+27.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No24c72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5219150.3%96 W · 95 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa058…69debacked Yes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick65cpaid+39.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe399…6bd7backed No27c66.35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.151346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+32.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed No23c65.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3269453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16fa…25ffbacked Yes77c64.94$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.943100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed No22c64.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3250656.3%285 W · 221 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed Yes54c64.24$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.293542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5016…1eebbacked Yes78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1850%4 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes79c64$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3238233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb309…2f7dbacked No50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa11…650bbacked Yes71c59.15$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.151573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7656…fd8fbacked No24c58.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143369.7%23 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+21.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4258…85adbacked Yes76c51.11$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.472339.1%9 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1078756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x230d…7967backed No23c47.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes78c47.69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5642946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No21c47.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.011,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No47c47.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1713850%69 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Yes53c47.16$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.171952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.