TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36ab…d5a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
66
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4928.6%14 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.77
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.7
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.21
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.35
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.34
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.99
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.98
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.51
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+97.8%+$199.15
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+68.4%+$103.26
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.52
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.99
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$356.93
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.23
Will England win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+98%+$98.03
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$130.54
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$561Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$245.51
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$964Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$918.72
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$199.4
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.38
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-07-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.97
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-07-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.49
Will FC Thun win on 2026-07-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+355.2%+$751.57
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-07-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.67
Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.51
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.36
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.84
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-07-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.38
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2026-07-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.