TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,509,709
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,539,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,509,709 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 490 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf883…cd1fbacked Yes73c824,611$598,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598,019.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked No27c400,000$110,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290,000837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4761…5ae8backed No27c155,926$42,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113,463.78560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+89.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No28c100,000$28,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,0006437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked No30c74,794$22,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,355.651060%6 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+50.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x440a…035abacked Yes36c67,281$24,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,0001030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No48c47,744$22,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,996.3434239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No28c44,096$12,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,768.113548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No28c43,920$12,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,742.099950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes59c30,235$17,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,938.364254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No48c30,110$14,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,523.792,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4da7…7abdbacked No28c27,663$7,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,030.611172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick46cpaid+68.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes73c23,350$17,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,072.0813839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No27c22,868$6,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,664.825431.5%17 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes70c21,808$15,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,265.361662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+64.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe699…8dc2backed Yes24c20,948$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked No29c16,973$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,973.341050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No28c16,042$4,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,497.48941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No29c15,205$4,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,846.4719952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes70c14,161$9,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,912.76567.7%44 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+16.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf845…a493backed Yes73c12,827$9,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,404.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No26c12,387$3,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,124.665459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No46c12,198$5,556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,642.243748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No51c10,726$5,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,213.921,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Yes73c10,000$7,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,300450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Yes18c9,932$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,785.77944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes29c9,006$2,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,610.334337.2%16 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes72c8,000$5,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,759.9912153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes16c7,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes71c7,476$5,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,317.4168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No29c7,098$2,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.885347.2%25 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b40…2f6abacked Yes76c6,574$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No27c6,400$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6726165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No27c6,295$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,588.7998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked No28c6,155$1,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,431.571450%7 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No28c6,064$1,701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,363.1816819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5f…d445backed Yes61c6,000$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,679.97520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes71c5,404$3,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,836.8440447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ff…7ac2backed Yes37c5,000$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No27c4,800$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5044971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes72c4,533$3,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,262.683650%18 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No24c4,167$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.675641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes73c4,000$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9201752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd179…74adbacked Yes74c3,500$2,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,590966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No48c3,393$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.54633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes79c3,267$2,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,576.9432650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No28c3,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.991926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No36c2,942$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.5241144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No27c2,800$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0446365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed No34c2,665$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,758.771030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes73c2,565$1,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,863.4824953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes17c2,500$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4257424.3%18 W · 56 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No27c2,400$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7525862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0af1…1901backed Yes74c2,277$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Yes61c2,258$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-50.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x31f3…0eacbacked No26c2,227$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.111050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+91.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ee0…9c9abacked No29c2,121$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.571850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes72c2,106$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.9135646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fba…6657backed Yes1c2,097$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes72c2,025$1,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.1841954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No27c2,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4604170.7%29 W · 12 L+7.4wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No74c1,957$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.335967.8%40 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No34c1,941$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.517763.6%49 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No27c1,867$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,366.622347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes72c1,846$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.012466.7%16 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+40.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No33c1,729$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.63119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-72.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes12c1,723$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes76c1,709$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,29933951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed Yes58c1,698$985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$984.9411153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b71…c4d0backed Yes44c1,627$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.031127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-44.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No27c1,600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1686369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No27c1,600$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1686170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes75c1,600$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick71cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No24c1,600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.3236456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No40c1,500$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002630.8%8 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick26cpaid-18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa584…067ebacked No29c1,451$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.141050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No27c1,433$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.5542347.8%202 W · 221 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aae…5efabacked No28c1,420$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.43100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+102.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes72c1,389$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005076%38 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+35.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes59c1,381$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.855935.6%21 W · 38 L-11.7wins-0.20per pick55cpaid-38.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x2200…2640backed No15c1,342$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,141.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+568.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No67c1,339$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.355955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8310…c875backed Yes75c1,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes77c1,299$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf375…f105backed Yes77c1,297$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9991070%7 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes70c1,270$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.265754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes72c1,244$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.44944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No27c1,200$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8766666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No27c1,200$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8765666.1%37 W · 19 L+7.5wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6f99…db70backed Yes59c1,190$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7022123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick27cpaid+16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No28c1,185$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.238547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Yes72c1,181$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8501973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No26c1,142$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.0515244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No71c1,138$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.0223345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed No37c1,112$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.342166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Yes65c1,082$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.878232.9%27 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Yes18c1,074$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.312821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes72c1,069$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77013350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No27c1,040$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.26465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No27c1,040$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.26070%42 W · 18 L+10.2wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+36.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.