TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,204
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,497

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,204 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No70c9,279$6,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,804.3334239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes32c8,269$2,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,611.062524%6 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes17c5,000$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8503650%18 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No77c3,390$2,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.713748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c2,519$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.442,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No80c2,364$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.1211053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Yes12c2,163$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.551070%7 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.29per pick41cpaid+77.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes21c2,013$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.6113839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes28c1,855$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.2941144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes12c1,682$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.082920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes17c1,670$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.95446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No77c1,510$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.481,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes17c1,181$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.993928.2%11 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+62.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Yes29c1,119$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes34c1,118$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38016032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes30c714.98$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.3539740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No75c708.85$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.8422545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes17c566.9$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3743058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes21c557.48$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0219952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes17c549.9$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0898544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307248.6%35 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc056…e188backed Yes36c475.93$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No74c470.03$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0814442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26cb…9fe7backed Yes17c394.12$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No76c377$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.835955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes22c358.31$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8426241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No73c337.14$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.4721748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f4…ac2cbacked Yes30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd532…28b5backed Yes27c314.81$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Yes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No68c233.35$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6631958.3%186 W · 133 L+26.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Yes18c227.41$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.823847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf72…af1abacked Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+45.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes11c187.79$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5315244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97d6…69e1backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-66.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes28c182.95$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.359650%48 W · 48 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No79c180.36$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.217762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa750…22e1backed Yes20c175$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes18c174.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.355754.4%31 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcd7…6b85backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No69c148$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8214651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa070…c103backed Yes33c144.55$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405038%19 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No66c135.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0722743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8b…9cd7backed Yes17c129.41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+187.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed No67c128.68$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-36.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes32c126.62$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5232650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes31c120.84$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.462035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3a…ccbebacked Yes23c120.65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.552356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f99…5936backed Yes17c120$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Yes17c120$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.46836.8%25 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid+12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173540%14 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+25.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8770…43b0backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked No75c99.27$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.68875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+72.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe07d…895fbacked Yes31c97.85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes17c97.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5411146.8%52 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db1…2941backed Yes30c94$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Yes17c92.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.093145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6328…1bf3backed Yes35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes18c84.44$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.216526.1%43 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-26.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes17c84$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2835646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes19c79.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8232843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6b…3962backed Yes17c76.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1330%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3929…afd2backed Yes18c71.93$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a65…5864backed Yes27c70.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a0a…c19ebacked Yes30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes29c68.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.933818.4%7 W · 31 L-6.3wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-62.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Yes30c66.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201471.4%10 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.34per pick38cpaid+98.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d05…864cbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0563…f41cbacked Yes31c63.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.69650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc021…f527backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes27c58$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.616535.4%23 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-65.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e07…c588backed Yes20c55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes24c54.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131450%7 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc4b…63c7backed Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe081…1df8backed No63c53.22$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No71c51.98$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.925139.2%20 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe97…b39ebacked Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152035%7 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+53.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3522…31a8backed Yes33c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb8c…3613backed Yes32c42.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.59333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+213.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No71c41.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.113762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No71c41.9$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.21546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No73c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No67c38$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.58169.1%56 W · 25 L+9.3wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+30%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked No70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.714337.2%16 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No69c30.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.3211260.7%68 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked No71c28.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.310262.7%64 W · 38 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No74c22.64$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.949542.1%40 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b39…315bbacked No74c20.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.23425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-66.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked No75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No74c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.947763.6%49 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18d2…e9c3backed No71c18.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.382669.2%18 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae3…93c3backed No71c18.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.381369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.