TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaf72…af1a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Serie A, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 57 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 107.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.74
James Harden: Assists O/U 5.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.07
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$226.61
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 109.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$106.22
De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+112.4%+$32.59
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$59.63
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+101%+$98.98
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
James Harden: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$83.33
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 104.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
All 20 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+45.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Juventus FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+191.4%+$124.43
Will Torino FC vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+525%+$283.5
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$148.59
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$173.51
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
AC Milan vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.6
US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$78.21
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.9%+$24.89
SS Lazio leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+153.4%+$331.47
SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$110
All 15 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$33
Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$137.57
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$362Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$362.25
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Brøndby IF vs. FC København: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$48.33
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$315.61
FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.38
FC Utrecht vs. SC Heerenveen: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$62.14
AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.08
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-51.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+400%+$356
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA River Plate vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$58.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.