TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,405
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,406

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,405 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c5,144$2,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,643.142,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7601752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under54c2,775$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.3227453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over55c2,727$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.1240447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c2,525$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,111.1332650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under45c2,462$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.1219952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over50c2,366$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,187.8334239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.228033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6d22…4b50backed Over53c2,163$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.19333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under44c1,900$836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.994242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Under51c1,576$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under46c1,221$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.713839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over54c1,002$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.7998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c992.91$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.271,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c799.99$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.9941954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under46c776.18$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.043650%18 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97dc…d8a5backed Over57c738.6$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-45.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under44c660$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.136456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Under46c613.04$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2822040%8 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over38c574.74$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.34812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-67.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over55c563.64$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.6415459.7%92 W · 62 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under2c551$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.758232.9%27 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d33…4af5backed Over39c510.32$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.32944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8942…1e76backed Over55c509.09$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.097954.4%43 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under40c500.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005166.7%34 W · 17 L+8.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under44c488.72$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.047045.7%32 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under58c478.66$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.9241144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab4…a81bbacked Over80c440.35$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.41771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebfd…cba6backed Over47c417$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1884242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9238…b73ebacked Under43c370.84$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.252948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Over46c339.07$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over30c300$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.755538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under45c296.52$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.433857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under36c257.2$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0422545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6404…262dbacked Over42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over53c214.06$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.1826040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under45c211.32$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over57c192.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.981650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3b…9ed5backed Over54c184.76$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.34540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5713636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over57c175.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.496852.9%36 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over53c174$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.789857.1%56 W · 42 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over55c173.46$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.6732854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe762…064bbacked Under44c167.75$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.661963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+30.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf72…af1abacked Over43c137.21$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.211553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+45.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under43c133.04$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.216936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Under16c120.64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.112142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Under60c120$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728552.9%45 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over45c119.29$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.617762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over40c117.5$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.529862.4%186 W · 112 L+34.5wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over57c116.77$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.924856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under44c101.01$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4615946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4691043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over59c91.66$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4539740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under45c77.27$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7715244.1%67 W · 85 L-11.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under16c72.83$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.389045.6%41 W · 49 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3548…0ebbbacked Over55c72.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.73450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over42c70$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.634553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.811947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe2…6829backed Under46c64.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.482552%13 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Over53c63.89$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked Under20c61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.37650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa73a…27d9backed Over53c56.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.15250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over56c55.73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.526842.6%29 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe32e…a3eebacked Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.566100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under45c55.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252544%11 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over56c53.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.752864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8956…755fbacked Over57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.631776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under47c48.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.973366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e4…0112backed Over54c46.13$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Under44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc87…d938backed Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.445156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over48c43.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3821748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over52c43.18$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.686552.3%34 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over57c42.66$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.341861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under47c42.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0319154.5%104 W · 87 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7291…3d0fbacked Over51c42.27$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over44c42.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7214442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe86d…bee9backed Under59c42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under49c40.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.016063.3%38 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Over50c39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.511547.8%55 W · 60 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50aa…60bbbacked Under45c38.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ca3…ec90backed Over56c36.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over42c35.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6213350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3110…c3f5backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.096637.9%25 W · 41 L-9.4wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-30.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under56c33.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.889542.1%40 W · 55 L-6.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Over58c31.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.321361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29a1…5645backed Under44c30.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.611471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+44.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Over57c27.8$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.081764.7%11 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc63d…23c5backed Over56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab92…19e5backed Over57c25.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.132181%17 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick63cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Over57c25.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.064271.4%30 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over66c25.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.793666.7%24 W · 12 L+4.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under60c25.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.335752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Over55c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.253060%18 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over64c24.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.11464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8684…bfaabacked Under43c23.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12055%11 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.