Serie A · resolved market
US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82ed334552c3a8bfe43a253bc3f3fa3dfa9f4838f8ddb14b230fa27a41f22d07
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc045…92f1backed No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 51c | 945.51$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.47 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked No | 49c | 862.51$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 54c | 692.92$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.74 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 53c | 504.86$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.68 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 52c | 500.58$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.29 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 30c | 478.01$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.67 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 58c | 403.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.56 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 53c | 329.62$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.92 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd1…2647backed Yes | 40c | 299.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 216.98$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 40c | 207.35$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.41 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 193.67$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.46 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Yes | 52c | 191.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 48c | 190.31$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 59c | 186$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.74 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 46c | 172.79$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 50c | 161.19$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf45…ea2cbacked No | 50c | 159.12$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Yes | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 41c | 137.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.01 | 298 | 62.4%186 W · 112 L | +34.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 44c | 128.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…af5cbacked Yes | 53c | 109.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 47c | 104.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20b…3ae4backed Yes | 52c | 104.52$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 48c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…e7a6backed Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0a…c19ebacked No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 46c | 60.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 42c | 57.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…68c1backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 46c | 51.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0e…1512backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes | 53c | 45.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85ee…79a9backed Yes | 50c | 39.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadcc…9cddbacked Yes | 51c | 39.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…6e54backed Yes | 55c | 37.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf9…dbb9backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 53c | 37.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 51c | 36.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…2564backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Como 1907 won
- Spread: Como 1907 (-2.5)Como 1907 won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 0.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 4.5Over won
- US Cremonese vs. Como 1907: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.