TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b81…e7a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
107
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Lol, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT3661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.63
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.35
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$148.45
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$54.68
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winnerbacked TLN Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+112.3%+$70.75
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$66
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$21.64
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$48.52
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$54.47
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$42.57
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+97.5%+$45.84
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$52.76
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Map Handicap: NAVI (-2.5) vs GamerLegion (+2.5)backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$29.72
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$25.22
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.03
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$61.06
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102.74
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$110.45
Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$68.58
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$35.06
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+73%+$14.6
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 21 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)backed SE Palmeiras · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
CA River Plate vs. Red Bull Bragantino: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
CA River Plate vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Club Olimpia vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$51.11
CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+127.6%+$127.56
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+76.8%+$48.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.