TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Liquidof 3DMAX, Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$440,761
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$474,916

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $440,761 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 257 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x82a5…674ebacked 3DMAX0c33,543$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7927452.2%143 W · 131 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Liquid46c15,000$6,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,099.9141649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Liquid47c12,678$5,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,750.353,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Liquid47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.9714050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked 3DMAX55c8,954$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,900.4376058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed 3DMAX49c8,713$4,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,231.221,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 3DMAX53c8,228$4,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,320.64,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked 3DMAX60c7,746$4,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,664.031,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed 3DMAX59c7,400$4,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,400.7188746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Liquid47c7,353$3,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,917.481843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked Liquid44c7,273$3,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,038.36947.8%33 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Liquid46c7,005$3,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,807.6287047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked 3DMAX60c6,426$3,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,862.761,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed 3DMAX64c6,366$4,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,067.422,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc43c…e9e8backed Liquid62c5,020$3,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,903.34944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43f2…6fc2backed Liquid47c4,534$2,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,423.722352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+38.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Liquid47c4,385$2,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,321.941,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed 3DMAX55c3,872$2,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.343336.4%12 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f3a…d709backed 3DMAX54c3,800$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.741330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-51.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed Liquid45c3,721$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,053.5312252.5%64 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked 3DMAX35c2,830$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009232.6%30 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed 3DMAX49c2,754$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,347.4245646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff6…5d2dbacked 3DMAX50c2,501$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.16714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-69.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x419d…ac3cbacked Liquid79c2,500$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed 3DMAX61c2,237$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.261,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Liquid47c2,213$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.5652951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9528…f04cbacked Liquid70c2,100$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-52.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed 3DMAX50c2,075$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,035.5314839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9c52…1a59backed 3DMAX62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2409550.5%48 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1588…eed3backed 3DMAX32c1,891$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.651450%7 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb775…36f5backed 3DMAX64c1,881$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20022757.3%130 W · 97 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked 3DMAX60c1,800$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.921,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked 3DMAX53c1,732$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.222,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Liquid43c1,695$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.6967372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked 3DMAX56c1,688$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.0464852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Liquid53c1,623$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.076,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd23f…0b63backed 3DMAX49c1,562$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.232259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf3d…aac0backed Liquid75c1,549$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.524100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+118.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked 3DMAX57c1,508$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.1375245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed 3DMAX47c1,277$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60048350.9%246 W · 237 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed 3DMAX58c1,253$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.3841850%209 W · 209 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Liquid46c1,242$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.621,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Liquid64c1,240$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.281,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Liquid53c1,209$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.064,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3914…3db9backed 3DMAX37c1,175$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.432334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Liquid45c1,167$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.9155843.5%243 W · 315 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked 3DMAX10c1,111$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.176748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Liquid47c1,085$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.754,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b26…6091backed Liquid37c1,083$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.993732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Liquid43c1,055$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.4440140.6%163 W · 238 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x255f…cd91backed 3DMAX56c1,032$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.758947.2%42 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed 3DMAX39c1,017$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.3337440.4%151 W · 223 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked 3DMAX1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed 3DMAX1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102150.9%2 W · 213 L-1.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed 3DMAX54c922.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed 3DMAX46c899.99$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.9957641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked 3DMAX57c867.52$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.6160953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked 3DMAX39c813.14$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.1743237.7%163 W · 269 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Liquid49c797.78$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4734146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed 3DMAX41c797$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.192,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Liquid49c750$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.52,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed Liquid58c750$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3153036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Liquid48c717.12$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.4143544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed 3DMAX58c709.48$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.572453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3013…279bbacked 3DMAX43c690.57$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.5819935.2%70 W · 129 L-18.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c07…08c5backed 3DMAX48c647.58$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3085438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked Liquid76c644.61$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.118654.8%102 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Liquid66c626.15$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.9431253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Liquid46c607.07$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.6333949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd6…9d99backed 3DMAX56c580.73$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.213842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 3DMAX44c579.53$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.127,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Liquid44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.185,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed 3DMAX54c556.76$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30042651.6%220 W · 206 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed 3DMAX46c550$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25350846.3%235 W · 273 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Liquid44c547$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.3278348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked 3DMAX44c543.15$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24046165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Liquid46c525.46$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.45,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Liquid49c512.37$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.3753545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked 3DMAX55c500.39$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.228149.4%40 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Liquid62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19018442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Liquid36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.21,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Liquid46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27028738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Liquid47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26513049.2%64 W · 66 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed 3DMAX33c499.99$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16511265.2%73 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked 3DMAX28c496$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.212,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed 3DMAX30c450.87$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.2612027.5%33 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 3DMAX53c444.84$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.931,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked 3DMAX37c437.03$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.73,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ee…a524backed 3DMAX47c403.98$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.871717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-69.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e42…f22abacked 3DMAX34c400$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3321741%89 W · 128 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1355…a695backed 3DMAX40c399.99$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16114545.5%66 W · 79 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked 3DMAX50c399.04$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2953859.3%319 W · 219 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Liquid68c392.85$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3520462.7%128 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Liquid45c378.77$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.3232548.3%157 W · 168 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbe…1f4abacked 3DMAX54c366.74$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.466555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Liquid50c365.66$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.399533.7%32 W · 63 L-9.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed 3DMAX33c361.76$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12198856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed 3DMAX32c350$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11218338.8%71 W · 112 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21df…fdbcbacked Liquid54c345.87$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.152650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked 3DMAX57c343.23$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.882,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.