CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd06f54eaf475218461dfb8baafb103b2c51f615db2a973b2d59360706fb359de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,772
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 47c | 5,698$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,663.18 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Under | 47c | 5,277$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.73 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 53c | 4,086$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.25 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 60c | 2,323$1,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.09 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 57c | 1,737$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.18 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 38c | 1,232$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.16 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 54c | 1,133$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.71 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Over | 50c | 1,015$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.08 | 227 | 57.3%130 W · 97 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 49c | 381.98$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.81 | 164 | 61.6%101 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…09d0backed Over | 52c | 343.06$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 67c | 225.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.82 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…5c32backed Over | 48c | 216.43$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 215.39$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Under | 75c | 167.45$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…cf56backed Over | 76c | 139.47$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 52c | 114.08$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 44c | 114$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 102.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…a4d6backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 238 | 42.4%101 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…e7a6backed Over | 53c | 90.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 50c | 85.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x820e…9db7backed Under | 52c | 74.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d6…4c63backed Under | 52c | 71.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce09…a251backed Under | 52c | 70.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 49c | 68.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Under | 44c | 66.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…f3cebacked Over | 36c | 61.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d01…ccfbbacked Under | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 68c | 53.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 22c | 46.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Over | 70c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 38c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…739abacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23e…5861backed Under | 45c | 40.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Under | 51c | 37.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 300 | 39.7%119 W · 181 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8912…1712backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66da…69b0backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Over | 54c | 29.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9413…d004backed Over | 53c | 28.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Under | 51c | 25.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57b…6783backed Over | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed Over | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group BLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 1 WinnerLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner3DMAX won
- Map Handicap: 3DMAX (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)Liquid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.