TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe068…c5ea

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
437
Categories scored
38
Categories below 50
25

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 61 out of 100; worst Stocks at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT6127.9%17 W · 44 L-10.4wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-53.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Tennis — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna Bondarbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$7.1
Roland Garros WTA: Ann Li vs Shuai Zhangbacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$3.27
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Jesper de Jongbacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Roland Garros ATP: Eliot Spizzirri vs Frances Tiafoebacked Eliot Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Kosice: Taro Daniel vs Oleg Prihodkobacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$8.25
Roland Garros WTA: Susan Bandecchi vs Cristina Bucsabacked Susan Bandecchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.9%+$35.13
Roland Garros WTA: Daria Kasatkina vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.72
Roland Garros WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Jasmine Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.46
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+117.6%+$26.48
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Leandro Riedibacked Leandro Riedi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Bengaluru 3: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Alastair Graybacked Alastair Gray · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
ITF Takasaki: Ena Koike vs Raluca Georgiana Serbanbacked Ena Koike · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.88
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublikbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
Hamburg European Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.69
ITF Portoroz: Carlota Martinez Cirez vs Mia Risticbacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
ITF Portoroz: Dunja Maric vs Isabella Maria Serbanbacked Isabella Maria Serban · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Carlo Alberto Caniatobacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$10.14
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Lukas Neumayerbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Coleman Wong vs Juan Carlos Pradobacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.24
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Alina Korneeva vs Julia Rierabacked Julia Riera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alexis Galarneau vs Federico Cinabacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+108%+$25.83
ITF Kosice: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Justina Mikulskytebacked Kajsa Rinaldo Persson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
ITF Portoroz: Eva Vedder vs Katerina Tsygourovabacked Katerina Tsygourova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.28
Cervia: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Tommaso Compagnuccibacked Enrico Dalla Valle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.83
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT4235.7%15 W · 27 L-7.8wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-37.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
MLB — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.59
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.89
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 12.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$4.79
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.67
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.58
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.06
Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.46
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.55
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$10.89
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. LG Twinsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigersbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$14.1
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.47
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.07
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$4.8
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.19
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.75
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$11.09
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3234.4%11 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-43.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Playoffsbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.66
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 Winnerbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$6.42
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Phantom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+139.6%+$22.38
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.63
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$16.75
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.02
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.68
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.82
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.12
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.37
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.62
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid - Map 1 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs 1WIN (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.36
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs 1WIN - Map 2 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$9.5
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$21.97
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$60.36
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN - Map 2 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.67
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.4
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$41.87
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs 1WIN - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.57
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.56
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+65%+$60.87
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2821.4%6 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-62.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Movies — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$3.19
Will "Sinners" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10.98
Will Sinners win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$17.63
Will Timothée Chalamet win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+126.6%+$15.28
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Michelle Williams win Best Actress in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13.43
Will Wicked: For Good be nominated for Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+91%+$18.82
Will Song Sung Blue be nominated for Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Will Sentimental Value be nominated for Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.47
Will "Bugonia" be nominated for Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.79
Will Ethan Hawke be nominated for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$31.41
Will Wednesday be nominated for Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.16
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will I Love L.A. be nominated for Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.62
Will Only Murders in the Building be nominated for Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15.01
Will Amy Madigan be nominated for Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$21.81
Will Teyana Taylor be nominated for Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.65
Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.65
Will Katherine LaNasa be nominated for Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+68.5%+$16.27
Will Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy win Best Movie Made for Television at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$25.68
Will F1 win Best Sound at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.58
Will Seth Rogen win Best Actor in a Comedy Series at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20.26
Will Ike Barinholtz win Best Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$16.68
Will One Battle After Another win Best Casting and Ensemble at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.6
Will Jean Smart win Best Actress in a Comedy Series at the 2026 Critics Choice Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.68
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST2321.7%5 W · 18 L-5.8wins-0.25per pick47cpaid-68.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
Stocks — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $250 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+41.2%+$5.84
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $470 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+34.8%+$5.16
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $445-$450 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.73
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $180-$185 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.95
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $435-$440 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+28.9%+$4.28
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at $176-$178 on the final day of trading of the week of Jan 5 – Jan 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$43.92
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 5 above $315?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will Netflix (NFLX) hit $90 before 2026??backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.22
Will Tesla (TSLA) hit $505 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$16.8
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $495 end of December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190-$195 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 22 – Dec 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Meta (META) close at $660-$670 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 22 – Dec 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25.2
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 22 – Dec 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$20.2
Will Palantir (PLTR) close at >$194 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 22 – Dec 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+56.3%+$7.2
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of December 22 above $180?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10.66
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of December 22 above $185?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$25.8
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of December 22 above $190?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50.4
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of December 22 above $6.50?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Meta (META) finish week of December 22 above $660?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of December 22 above $510?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.6
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of December 22 above $310?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$15.8
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of December 22 above $230?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$22.7
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of December 22 above $275?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$17.2
All 23 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$728.02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$328.22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$319.5
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.26
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+53.4%+$66.1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$3.24
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$68.68
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.63
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 8?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.37
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 8?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.24
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$108.48
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 8?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.4
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 7?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$156
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+168.9%+$716.11
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 7?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.78
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$93.5
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+50.9%+$10.79
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $55-$60 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+109.1%+$14
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$18.13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $60 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$28.2
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$3.02
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.27
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.96
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.89
Spread: Knicks (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.55
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$8.11
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$26.44
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+400%+$40.8
Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.32
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.54
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Will the Brooklyn Nets win more than 19.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.92
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+136.5%+$18.47
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win more than 49.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win more than 56.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.38
Will the Dallas Mavericks win more than 41.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.71
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$19.27
All 22 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT2123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.9wins-0.23per pick47cpaid-51.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Weather — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$4.01
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C or higher on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.32
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.81
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.25
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.63
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+122.8%+$13.88
Will the maximum Arctic sea ice extent this winter be <14m square kilometers?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.31
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+27.1%+$4.94
Will it Snow in Seattle this December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$10.44
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+86.9%+$18.6
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on December 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$19.24
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 35°C on December 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+240.4%+$48.75
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on December 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$14.78
Will the highest temperature in London be 6°C on December 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15.66
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.35
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.64
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.1
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$34
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.55
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+27%+$164
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.51
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.53
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$15.19
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$38.9
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25%+$3.59
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$17.81
Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.92
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.11
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-45%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+97%+$12.31
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
CF Cruz Azul vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Will CA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
CA Peñarol vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Will Racing Club win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
Will Racing Club vs. Caracas FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.63
Racing Club vs. Caracas FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.94
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+146.2%+$16.87
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
Will Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Independiente Medellín win on 2026-05-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.37
Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+123.9%+$33.91
Cusco FC vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$36.4
All 15 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST1520%3 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-63.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Earnings — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paramount Group (PSKY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$87.88
Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+178.9%+$47.47
Will Teleflex (TFX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$35.96
Will Colgate-Palmolive (CL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.72
Will Chevron (CVX) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.35
Will Anheuser-Busch (BUD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.81
Will Strategy (MSTR) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.29
Will Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.9
Will Estée Lauder Companies (EL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.55
Will Fox (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.89
Will Tradeweb Markets (TW) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.39
Will Shake Shack (SHAK) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.31
Will Mastercard (MA) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$9.24
Will Waystar Holding (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.33
Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$11.49
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-63.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Safaera be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.74
Spread: Packers (-1.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the New England Patriots finish with the best record in the NFL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will the Seattle Seahawks be the Top Defense/Special Teams of the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$21.28
Will Raheem Morris be the next NFL Head Coach fired?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$22.72
Will Ashton Jeanty record the most rushing yards by a rookie running back?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$26.31
Will Matthew Stafford lead the NFL in passing yards this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.07
Will Dak Prescott lead the NFL in passing yards this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+93.9%+$19.37
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers make the playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+48.1%+$6.5
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+72.6%+$9.92
Spread: Eagles (-8.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.49
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28.87
Spread: Rams (-8.5)backed Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.39
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$26.2
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)backed Leeds United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.7
Will West Ham United FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23.34
Will Norwich City FC vs. Walsall FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+29%+$4.5
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.13
Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$27.84
Will Cheltenham Town FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Will Arsenal FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15.49
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+147.9%+$23.87
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+34.9%+$17.14
Spread: Sheffield United FC (-1.5)backed Sheffield United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$5.53
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.48
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+284.6%+$34.34
Will Reid Hoffman be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will David Koch be named in newly released Epstein files by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Will Anderson Cooper be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+60.2%+$7.29
Will Al Gore be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.2%+$7.35
Will Leonardo DiCaprio be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$23.02
Will Jay-Z be named in newly released Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10.41
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-65.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will Al Okhdood SC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$32.2
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-01-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.72
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$26.16
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Hazem SC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.95
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+212.5%+$27.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.44per pick27cpaid+275.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick62cpaid-39.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-50.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-34.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+41.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-67.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-66.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Beijing Ducks vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.76
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+32.9%+$3.71
Monaco vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$16.23
All 4 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+54.1%+$6.5
Will Ethena dip to $0.20 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+100%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.61
Will PSV Eindhoven advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+70.3%+$9.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-25.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.9
Dota 2: Kalmychata vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kalmychata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$12.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+344.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+344.7%+$41.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the third most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+81.8%+$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.