TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x65c9…cf56

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
142
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT3467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$27.6
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.11
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,957Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,956.98
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,750Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$685.26
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$936
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$847Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$847
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$958Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$958
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,276
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$496
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$308.74
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$383
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$847Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$847
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$520.93
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$166.67
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$107.44
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$78.42
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$149
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$884Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$884
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$58.38
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 13.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
New York Yankees vs. Athleticsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,209Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,735.44
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,126Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$531.6
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,391Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,092.89
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$109.34
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$111.42
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT2969%20 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$85.83
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.14
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$264.58
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$341Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$153.41
Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$231
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$414Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$186.37
Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)backed GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$868Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$532
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$275.56
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$61.32
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$188.46
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$94.5
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$140
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$85.8
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$389.46
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$193.26
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$554Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$553.7
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$600
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,930Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$830.87
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$318
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$300
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.43
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.33
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$185.22
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$155.67
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT2828.6%8 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-28.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Son Heungmin: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.96
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Canada (-5.5)backed Qatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$494
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.47
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$343Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$343
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Luis Díaz: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$315.75
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.61
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
England vs. Croatia: England O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$383
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$173
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$62.67
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$107.25
Exact Score: Austria 3 - 1 Jordan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+720.5%+$108.08
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Exact Score: Austria 2 - 0 Jordan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 0 Jordan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Exact Score: Austria 3 - 0 Jordan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$26.36
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$334Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$213.54
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$249.39
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$104.99
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$605
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$695Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$324.3
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$310.79
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$109.04
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Falcons Force (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.38
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$152
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.13
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs largadosypelados (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked Galorys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$501Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.5
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs MIBR (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$49.29
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$129.23
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Playoffsbacked Fake do Biru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.88
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$189
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$105
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$185.36
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$33.47
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Abacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,014Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$257.22
Counter-Strike: NRG vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.5
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,746Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$640.07
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,781Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,781
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,995Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,505
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,380
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$366.14
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,483Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$908.7
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$90
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$342
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$92.92
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$181.94
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$75.33
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$497
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$106.94
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+121.8%+$265.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,292.02
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+60.7%+$260.93
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+38%+$75.75
All 18 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+123%+$110.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,490
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.