Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Austria 1 - 0 Jordan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a6a779b69ce4ccf34a4a9106fc693c13bf482d426a3837ed93279de2f2c1194
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 18,009$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,602.63 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…f74bbacked Yes | 15c | 9,999$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.89 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 7,753$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.78 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…b750backed Yes | 14c | 6,780$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.94 | 80 | 10%8 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 14c | 4,917$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.95 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 13c | 4,451$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.69 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…8b96backed Yes | 19c | 3,148$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…e406backed Yes | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 109 | 18.3%20 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed Yes | 14c | 1,790$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.6 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…53dfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 454 | 24.7%112 W · 342 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c8…1494backed Yes | 15c | 999.8$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…81a7backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c0…901dbacked Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 14c | 539.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.66 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…e52dbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Yes | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 107 | 20.6%22 W · 85 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…1e47backed Yes | 23c | 434.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 19c | 410.53$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8530…a554backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd00a…8126backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa78b…b2b5backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 287.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3362…a769backed Yes | 14c | 285.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x593a…b9f4backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed No | 80c | 264.37$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.15 | 175 | 68.6%120 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 74cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…64a1backed Yes | 17c | 262$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 177 | 32.2%57 W · 120 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f1…da32backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9085…23e8backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…39d3backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c9…cf56backed Yes | 15c | 215.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa011…c40bbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…0009backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 205 | 32.2%66 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…15dbbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc158…9d65backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 12.7%14 W · 96 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 311 | 32.2%100 W · 211 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…e373backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…a7fcbacked Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 118 | 23.7%28 W · 90 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 14c | 157.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8431…bd3abacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec12…fd9dbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 19.4%30 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 16.2%36 W · 186 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…1041backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a2…4092backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…bb6abacked Yes | 14c | 142.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c3…3899backed Yes | 14c | 141.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 12cpaid | +1,100%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc697…2e77backed Yes | 14c | 137.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…cf36backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…3741backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 21.9%49 W · 175 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…77cfbacked Yes | 13c | 110$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 110 | 9.1%10 W · 100 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e3…37d5backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…0296backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 226 | 27.9%63 W · 163 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…6aa8backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…8339backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cd…0558backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1efa…903fbacked Yes | 14c | 102.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…08e8backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…ca7abacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…1347backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 142 | 23.9%34 W · 108 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…fac6backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 390 | 43.6%170 W · 220 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…acfebacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 66 | 15.2%10 W · 56 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8f…6de5backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f4c…f3bfbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ef…736dbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…ba5abacked Yes | 14c | 92.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Yes | 19c | 78.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a50…2197backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ac…ba3dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255e…5456backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4450…381cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x437a…c6fbbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Austria 1 - 0 Jordan?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Austria 0 - 0 Jordan?No won
- Exact Score: Austria 0 - 1 Jordan?No won
- Exact Score: Austria 0 - 2 Jordan?No won
- Exact Score: Austria 0 - 3 Jordan?No won
- Exact Score: Austria 1 - 1 Jordan?No won
- Exact Score: Austria 1 - 2 Jordan?No won
- Exact Score: Austria 1 - 3 Jordan?No won
- Exact Score: Austria 2 - 0 Jordan?No won
- Exact Score: Austria 2 - 1 Jordan?No won
- Exact Score: Austria 2 - 2 Jordan?No won
- Exact Score: Austria 2 - 3 Jordan?No won
- Exact Score: Austria 3 - 0 Jordan?No won
- Exact Score: Austria 3 - 1 Jordan?Yes won
- Exact Score: Austria 3 - 2 Jordan?No won
- Exact Score: Austria 3 - 3 Jordan?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.