TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa625…fac6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
459
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Boxing at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT39043.6%170 W · 220 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 390 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$168
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$27.31
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$132.5
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.75
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.21
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.25
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$18.75
Spread: France (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.38
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.5
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.5
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$12
Showing 25 of 390 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT4045%18 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Exact Score: Portland Timbers 0 - 2 FC Dallas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.08
Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)backed FC Dallas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Portland Timbers vs. FC Dallas: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.22
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.31
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. St. Louis City SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.12
Exact Score: Los Angeles FC 3 - 0 Real Salt Lake?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Exact Score: Los Angeles FC 2 - 0 Real Salt Lake?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.71
Los Angeles FC vs. Real Salt Lake: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$11.3
Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)backed San Diego FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.6
Colorado Rapids SC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.43
Will Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$13.33
Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.09
Will Nashville SC vs. CF Montréal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.15
Nashville SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Houston Dynamo vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.58
Houston Dynamo vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
Spread: Charlotte FC (-1.5)backed Charlotte FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.91
Spread: Charlotte FC (-2.5)backed Charlotte FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+320.2%+$38.1
Exact Score: Aston Villa FC 1 - 2 Liverpool FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+105.9%+$19.8
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.52
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.5%+$18.11
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+177.8%+$19.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-58.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18.75
Clippers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$58.71
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$41.01
All 4 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$23.15
Canadiens vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18.24
Canucks vs. Jetsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$143.07
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+53.8%+$14.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Ding · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.