Fifa International · resolved market
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9345597d688c594ee8de05b7c3fd1d48b2054c353377848b53cc86fb1c20d0d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 14c | 3,181$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.95 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 25c | 999.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.89 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 78c | 974.51$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.49 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab63…8f4bbacked Over | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…16e7backed Over | 73c | 660.76$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.76 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 75c | 573.42$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.81 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e196backed Under | 18c | 550.56$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 172 | 29.1%50 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270c…f66fbacked Under | 5c | 480$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 25c | 376.65$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.16 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 78c | 360$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 78c | 262.82$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked Under | 29c | 195.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…da0bbacked Under | 27c | 176$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.96 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cd…4b4dbacked Under | 7c | 169.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 24c | 163.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c71…bdf6backed Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6a…de5ebacked Over | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 28c | 123.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9709…52abbacked Under | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +38%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec55…87d0backed Over | 75c | 120$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 77c | 111.2$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked Under | 27c | 107.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70cb…99ebbacked Over | 75c | 92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Over | 76c | 90.79$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 82 | 74.4%61 W · 21 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Under | 24c | 87.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 175 | 33.7%59 W · 116 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 78c | 79.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 26c | 70.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.62 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Under | 26c | 66.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 23c | 61.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 25c | 51.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c0…f6c1backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 170 | 24.1%41 W · 129 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa625…fac6backed Over | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 390 | 43.6%170 W · 220 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 177 | 35%62 W · 115 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 24c | 48.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…3b73backed Over | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 71c | 44.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 25c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Over | 78c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…324dbacked Over | 77c | 39.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 74c | 35.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.12 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…c93fbacked Over | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 78c | 34.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c1…244dbacked Over | 77c | 30.61$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +4.6wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Over | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…7bd0backed Over | 78c | 15.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x525a…1e31backed Over | 75c | 14.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5this page
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Over won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
- England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
- England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)England won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)England won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)England won
- Spread: England (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: England (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: England (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: England (-4.5)Argentina won
- Spread: England (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.