TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$224,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$231,775

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,815 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under76c59,584$45,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,0704,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over27c36,432$9,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,70014248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7826…9d51backed Over26c17,634$4,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,584.841631.3%5 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over26c15,703$4,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,072.888,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Under74c14,621$10,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,801.532774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Over26c10,846$2,795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.997416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Under74c10,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6008458.3%49 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over23c8,435$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.53315.2%5 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-63.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under74c7,000$5,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8201,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under75c5,527$4,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.733,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Over26c5,500$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43031152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under73c5,218$3,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,42186452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over25c4,444$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.9619037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa1…792fbacked Under75c3,484$2,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.032751.9%14 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over25c3,395$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848.771,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under74c3,005$2,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.822,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over26c2,662$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.122,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63e3…f341backed Under75c2,662$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.898647.7%41 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Over26c2,660$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.68938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under74c2,500$1,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.013,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under74c2,500$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.623,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under74c2,178$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.371,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Over26c2,077$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.985240.4%21 W · 31 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over24c1,875$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.2875729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe174…5b34backed Over26c1,731$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450560%3 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick26cpaid+101.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over26c1,542$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40119329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdd6…c388backed Over26c1,515$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.932657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over9c1,415$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.522,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over24c1,363$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.277845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Over14c1,336$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.0813623.5%32 W · 104 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over25c1,034$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.282,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over6c1,023$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4951514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdcd…8958backed Over26c961.54$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…da6ebacked Over26c900$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2346045%27 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a6d…38c1backed Over26c846.15$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22070%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7cd…093abacked Over26c800$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20828822.6%65 W · 223 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe020…ff13backed Under76c789.47$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.474667.4%31 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under74c780$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.797742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e51…c6aabacked Under75c719.48$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.8712341.5%51 W · 72 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6522…15a7backed Over27c710.07$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.72825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over25c680$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17019939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over23c659.71$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.861,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ebc…6bfdbacked Under76c657.89$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.8911357.5%65 W · 48 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over24c539.79$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13011035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Over20c506.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12028164.1%180 W · 101 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd46d…d125backed Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003520%7 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Over10c499.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under74c482.19$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.31,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under75c466.67$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.677471.6%53 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under77c453.4$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8929740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe855…1139backed Over6c399.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233026.7%8 W · 22 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick14cpaid+104.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb74f…2eb3backed Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015050.7%76 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84dc…a8b1backed Over26c364.38$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.742114.3%3 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under75c346.69$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.651,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x363f…e5bfbacked Over26c317.23$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.48922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over25c281.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.823,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under75c272.6$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.141,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over20c270.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2925643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc77…08a4backed Over26c269.23$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703016.7%5 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…2ee2backed Over26c265.65$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.073735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf313…9ea6backed Over26c262$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.122236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under74c245$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.021,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed Over18c215.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7911834.7%41 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over15c210$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.123820.6%49 W · 189 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over26c207.69$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5429338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7621…944bbacked Under74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.75570.9%39 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick73cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under74c202.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.767447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Under75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5014244.4%63 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Over25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509628.1%27 W · 69 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7076…6adcbacked Under75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506262.9%39 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over25c196.56$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1427742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x369f…798bbacked Over26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018236.3%66 W · 116 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over26c187.2$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.671,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked Over26c184.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4814528.3%41 W · 104 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over26c180.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.912419.4%24 W · 100 L-10.7wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under74c178$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.281,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf04…90b5backed Over25c176$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443030%9 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under74c157.22$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.072,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9bb…52a9backed Over26c155.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.39333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick27cpaid-28.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948e…44d1backed Over26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404920.4%10 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over10c150$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1515722.3%35 W · 122 L+0.7wins0.00per pick22cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Under74c138.08$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5217533.7%59 W · 116 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38e9…736dbacked Under75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3329766.7%198 W · 99 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc0b…e3a8backed Under75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.332544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa87d…ff4dbacked Under75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3329428.9%85 W · 209 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5824…8e3fbacked Under76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.584667.4%31 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under77c129.53$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.61,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Over26c120.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2812631%39 W · 87 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Over25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3015645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x101c…0e79backed Under75c118$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.51250%6 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0b8…e424backed Under74c117$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.425947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ad5…b130backed Over25c116$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.