England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2be4c02b633d4374a5410d8ce1f1adfa4184c0a3327f41101a5d8f06630f1714

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $37,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,915 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5a21…9318backed Under	1c	6,903$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.45	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Under	1c	6,054$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.54	451	45%203 W · 248 L	+22.3wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	39c	3,007$1,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,839.92	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	63c	2,211$1,398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,398.29	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	39c	1,712$662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,049.75	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Under	62c	1,666$1,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,033	72	37.5%27 W · 45 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	39c	1,411$548 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$863.31	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	60c	1,391$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.48	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over	39c	1,081$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$656.79	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under	4c	1,040$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.32	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bc2…077bbacked Under	62c	999.97$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.98	178	45.5%81 W · 97 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Over	38c	995$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$621.85	263	44.1%116 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad1…de9bbacked Under	61c	713.81$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.45	52	69.2%36 W · 16 L	+7.0wins	+0.14per pick	56cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Under	61c	599.99$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	30c	552.46$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.69	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	20c	514.43$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.71	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e2…3ad5backed Over	40c	500$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8daf…ef60backed Over	38c	500$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	44	34.1%15 W · 29 L	-2.8wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3441…8e5cbacked Over	38c	499.86$190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.91	10	40%4 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	61c	409$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.49	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc8…d0dbbacked Under	60c	399.37$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.12	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c97…eb24backed Over	39c	396.69$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.98	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over	57c	388.09$223 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.54	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under	40c	387$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.67	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Under	61c	381.45$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.68	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	+6.4wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Under	52c	364.05$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.61	256	43.4%111 W · 145 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	61c	349.54$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.22	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd119…e58dbacked Under	63c	317.46$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Under	60c	284.97$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.98	858	51.2%439 W · 419 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over	38c	268.75$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$166.63	177	47.5%84 W · 93 L	+11.7wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x71a2…0b0bbacked Over	40c	250$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-56.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over	41c	243.9$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.9	246	49.2%121 W · 125 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabad…f40bbacked Under	59c	239.15$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.05	42	57.1%24 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under	35c	239$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.42	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c15…5b4bbacked Under	59c	185$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.15	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6ea…6ebbbacked Over	39c	154$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.94	56	21.4%12 W · 44 L	-3.2wins	-0.06per pick	27cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5084…7cf2backed Over	67c	149.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.25	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb25…b180backed Over	41c	132$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.88	69	29%20 W · 49 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x369f…798bbacked Over	38c	131.58$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.58	182	36.3%66 W · 116 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83bd…3f07backed Over	39c	128.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.21	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9689…ce78backed Over	39c	128.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.21	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	40cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe321…2d2ebacked Over	41c	121.95$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.95	86	61.6%53 W · 33 L	+13.0wins	+0.15per pick	46cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x92c1…244dbacked Over	38c	117.17$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.75	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+4.6wins	+0.20per pick	41cpaid	+51.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa608…2c77backed Over	40c	102.75$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.75	99	59.6%59 W · 40 L	+7.9wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+13%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x353b…e535backed Under	42c	102.13$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.76	94	56.4%53 W · 41 L	+6.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2a4…ed34backed Over	68c	99.99$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	75	34.7%26 W · 49 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	62c	96.76$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.32	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	59c	96.4$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	61c	91.12$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.39	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Over	38c	78.95$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.95	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Over	55c	75$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.5	161	63.4%102 W · 59 L	+25.7wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+44.8%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under	45c	75$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44f6…663fbacked Over	71c	70.83$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.83	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	58cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under	37c	70$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.16	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf592…73cabacked Over	38c	66.5$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.23	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+13%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c2d…6d75backed Over	40c	63.08$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.07	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	35cpaid	-36%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over	61c	59.5$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.45	175	33.7%59 W · 116 L	-12.8wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x993c…2aecbacked Under	28c	59$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.52	56	16.1%9 W · 47 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	40c	57.15$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.08	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under	40c	57$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.78	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2da…fdd7backed Under	39c	56.51$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.31	50	52%26 W · 24 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf51e…0280backed Over	49c	56.22$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.72	65	40%26 W · 39 L	+3.0wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	60c	54.9$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.94	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over	38c	53.26$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.77	1,293	53.6%693 W · 600 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ab…c326backed Over	57c	47.23$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.23	131	49.6%65 W · 66 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03c9…d8c1backed Over	64c	42.43$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.15	131	58.8%77 W · 54 L	+26.4wins	+0.20per pick	39cpaid	+82.8%equal weight	69+0.17 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed Over	38c	41.05$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.45	172	29.1%50 W · 122 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Over	40c	37.5$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	97	34%33 W · 64 L	-4.8wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Over	38c	37.5$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.25	481	54.9%264 W · 217 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06fd…2688backed Under	67c	37.31$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	55	34.5%19 W · 36 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c47…fc6dbacked Under	33c	35.21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.67	129	54.3%70 W · 59 L	+14.2wins	+0.11per pick	43cpaid	+89.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under	34c	33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.24	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22c6…d313backed Over	68c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	49	28.6%14 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x425e…ecfabacked Over	68c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.6	113	60.2%68 W · 45 L	+22.2wins	+0.20per pick	41cpaid	+63.7%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under	49c	29.2$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.31	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a61…68f9backed Over	40c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+5.2wins	+0.14per pick	19cpaid	+87.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a71…63e6backed Over	40c	25$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.60per pick	40cpaid	+150%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under	60c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.07	866	56.4%488 W · 378 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5this page
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: England 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 1.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 2.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Over won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina won
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
England vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)England won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)England won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)England won
Spread: England (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-4.5)Argentina won
Spread: England (-5.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

England vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event