TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,135 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaba0…31dcbacked Over0c10,000$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under62c3,874$2,402 inWon+$1,472.171,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under63c3,218$2,027 inWon+$1,190.6517642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Over37c3,000$1,110 inLost-$1,11010128.7%29 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Over38c2,632$1,000 inLost-$1,00010549.5%52 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over18c1,519$275 inLost-$275.174,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Over38c1,447$550 inLost-$55016342.9%70 W · 93 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under62c1,082$671 inWon+$411.062,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Under63c499.98$315 inWon+$184.9937754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f17…fd2ebacked Over33c369.7$122 inLost-$1222055%11 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+54.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked Over11c348.07$38 inLost-$38.295127.5%14 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa313…e124backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost-$10016160.9%98 W · 63 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0537…5b0fbacked Over12c250$30 inLost-$303135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+24.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over20c226.75$44 inLost-$44.351,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under63c213.35$134 inWon+$78.942,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over37c200$74 inLost-$7410562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under63c168.41$106 inWon+$62.71,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over38c157.94$59 inLost-$59.368,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x203f…521ebacked Over19c133.09$25 inLost-$24.64258%2 W · 23 L-7.0wins-0.28per pick36cpaid-84%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x660e…76ccbacked Over38c131.58$50 inLost-$5019241.1%79 W · 113 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under62c110.21$68 inWon+$41.8866056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Over40c109.68$44 inLost-$43.6219038.9%74 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Over38c100.68$38 inLost-$38.2665253.8%351 W · 301 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under60c89.68$54 inWon+$35.872,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x02da…a9fabacked Over38c88.32$34 inLost-$33.5640%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8925…7bc4backed Under63c79.37$50 inWon+$29.376145.9%28 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under76c68.82$52 inWon+$16.5792732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…8da8backed Under78c64.23$50 inWon+$14.237856.4%44 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over35c62.07$22 inLost-$21.8275729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf074…13e5backed Over38c45.66$17 inLost-$17.353941%16 W · 23 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Over31c43.3$13 inLost-$13.2916344.2%72 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under63c39.9$25 inWon+$14.768653.5%46 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under62c33.43$21 inWon+$12.73,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under66c30.3$20 inWon+$10.366932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4503…98d7backed Over38c29.24$11 inLost-$11.111752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+51.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a31…80d4backed Over37c28$10 inLost-$10.363925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick26cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed Under62c25$16 inWon+$9.4539956.6%226 W · 173 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x263c…6540backed Under62c21.68$13 inWon+$8.247150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under62c18.39$11 inWon+$6.9986656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.