TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f17…fd2e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst Champions League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.18per pick37cpaid+54.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$369Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$368.55
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.63
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+325.5%+$300.6
England vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.51
United States leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Christian Pulisic: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$480.43
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$857Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+114%+$976.64
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Julián Quiñones: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$294.5
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$439.04
Norway leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$398.62
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$312.82
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$679.85
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$226.37
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$109
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.31
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,815Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,815.3
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.16
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.79
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.97
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$929.86
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$289.14
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.78
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$741.43
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$328Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$434.7
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$189.71
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$958Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,079.94
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-49.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick32cpaid+181.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+198.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Odense BK win on 2026-08-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$292.11
Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-07-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$194.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+105.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+66.5%+$237.73
Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Casper Ruudbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$485.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alphabacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$670.67
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.