Fifa International · resolved market
Norway leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66d3f30a57f3c993aa6b1d1d728157fd216f9226ea2775d1ac3d91ba89fad46e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $262,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $285,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 34c | 30,885$10,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,534.9 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6567…c807backed No | 70c | 16,780$11,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,746.32 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 65c | 10,964$7,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,122.4 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 65c | 10,515$6,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,834.49 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 32c | 10,121$3,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,897.44 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 35c | 7,052$2,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,589.07 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 6,758$3,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.78 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 65c | 4,936$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,213.86 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 65c | 4,708$3,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,067.18 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 4,703$3,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.52 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked No | 65c | 4,557$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.09 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 14c | 4,323$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.22 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 65c | 4,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.97 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 7c | 3,994$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.79 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 15c | 3,740$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.5 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 35c | 3,689$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,387.95 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0850…cb8cbacked No | 66c | 3,485$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 6c | 3,381$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.77 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa451…449ebacked Yes | 35c | 2,856$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.56 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…e8a8backed Yes | 35c | 2,631$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.28 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 2,622$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,610.07 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.98 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…577ebacked No | 4c | 2,423$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.46 | 82 | 12.2%10 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…fff9backed Yes | 35c | 2,038$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.68 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 1c | 2,020$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 13c | 2,019$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.6 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Yes | 35c | 1,981$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.69 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 34c | 1,939$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 2c | 1,750$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed No | 8c | 1,738$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.04 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed No | 8c | 1,655$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.37 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed Yes | 35c | 1,600$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfe…c83cbacked No | 6c | 1,517$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 362 | 34%123 W · 239 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Yes | 34c | 1,493$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.4 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked No | 76c | 1,478$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.79 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 10c | 1,368$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.25 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 13c | 1,353$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.26 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked No | 66c | 1,350$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…8b0bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,300$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…f538backed Yes | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.86 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0918…7363backed Yes | 25c | 1,006$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.2 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 236 | 37.7%89 W · 147 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 72c | 990.08$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.62 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Yes | 67c | 955.82$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.68 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 35c | 857.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.14 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked No | 7c | 839.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 229 | 32.8%75 W · 154 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 32c | 796.88$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.88 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 65c | 791.6$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.12 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 66c | 756.95$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.59 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 11c | 727.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 8c | 724.85$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 8c | 719.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…fd2ebacked Yes | 35c | 613.26$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.62 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…350cbacked Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 65c | 548.05$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.26 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…5e92backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 10c | 490.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 35c | 482.86$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.86 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…bc33backed Yes | 22c | 456.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.28 | 226 | 26.5%60 W · 166 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed No | 2c | 441.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 25c | 438.54$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.11 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 13c | 427.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…421bbacked Yes | 35c | 420$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…9623backed No | 65c | 405.12$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.33 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No | 78c | 399.96$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.97 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 66c | 390$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.16 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 66c | 390$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.16 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 65c | 383.75$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.76 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 65c | 382.04$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.33 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked No | 66c | 368.15$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.98 | 377 | 47.7%180 W · 197 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes | 26c | 354$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.37 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 12c | 351.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked No | 24c | 350.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.32 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 64c | 299.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked No | 25c | 299.41$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.13 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f90…4c92backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…38c6backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307a…d612backed Yes | 26c | 285.19$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.19 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a8…3592backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes | 35c | 274$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.1 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x018a…3b37backed No | 65c | 266.15$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8b…0775backed Yes | 33c | 256.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.25 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 65c | 238.87$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc2…6d48backed Yes | 35c | 225.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.77 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 65c | 219.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 63c | 218.12$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.74 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…6bdebacked Yes | 30c | 201.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.92 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed No | 10c | 200.78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc874…e0c8backed Yes | 36c | 197.22$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.22 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd423…0dacbacked Yes | 35c | 186.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.52 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 66c | 184.57$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.82 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Norway leading at halftime?this page
- Côte d'Ivoire leading at halftime?No won
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.