TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf5c7…5cec

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
329
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 59 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT17138.6%66 W · 105 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 171 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open, Qualification WTA: Alice Tubello vs Priscilla Honbacked Alice Tubello · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Moez Echarguibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.98
Cincinnati Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Xiyu Wangbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.84
Cincinnati Open: Janice Tjen vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Hagen: Raul Brancaccio vs Elmer Moellerbacked Raul Brancaccio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Damir Dzumhur vs Mathys Erhardbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Warsaw: Mona Barthel vs Elizara Yanevabacked Mona Barthel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Hagen: Matej Dodig vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+168.6%+$149.5
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Gael Monfilsbacked Gael Monfils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.97
Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Maneiro (+1.5)backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Olaf Pieczkowskibacked Olaf Pieczkowski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Hagen: Lorenzo Giustino vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+138%+$50.01
Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs Atmanebacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Targu Mures: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Leyre Romero Gormaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Samsun: Gabi Boitan vs Gabriel Debrubacked Gabi Boitan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Pozoblanco: Tiago Pereira vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Tiago Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Swiss Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.76
Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Taro Danielbacked Taro Daniel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.91
Iasi Open: Emiliana Arango vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Tamara Zidansek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+92%+$82.23
Iasi Open: Clara Burel vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.44
Set Handicap: Assche (-1.5) vs Lajovic (+1.5)backed Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Croatia Open: Dusan Lajovic vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$16.02
Cordenons: Stefano Napolitano vs Felix Balshawbacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$77.82
Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Showing 25 of 171 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT4344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.79
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+176.8%+$203.32
Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+102.1%+$102.07
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+144.6%+$1,041.46
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$202.92
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,060.47
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.18
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$392
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Kia Tigersbacked SSG Landers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.12
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.35
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Athletics vs. San Diego Padresbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$132.56
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+172.2%+$258.33
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT3537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.89
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.83
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$232.22
Cristiano Ronaldo: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,161.43
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$734.48
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$215.03
Christian Pulisic: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$444.49
Belgium vs. Senegal: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$650
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+322.1%+$1,385.22
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
France vs. Sweden: France O/U 6.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$701Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$790.04
France vs. Sweden: O/U 12.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$357.63
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.73
Norway leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$388.24
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$281.11
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Norway (-2.5)backed Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT3351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.6wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+36%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Orlando Magicbacked Orlando Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$67.23
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1Q Winnerbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$196
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$298
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.9%+$74.38
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 110.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.73
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+204.1%+$408.29
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$60.46
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.44
1H Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$32.91
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+199.5%+$21.94
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$133.48
76ers vs. Knicks: 1H Moneylinebacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$117.52
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$248.01
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+98.6%+$154.83
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.07
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$149.09
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$232.18
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$120.86
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Leeds United FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.93
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.2
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.49
Burnley FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+438%+$219.01
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$81.78
All 10 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+147.2%+$54.46
Will King Green win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$20.14
O/U 3.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Grant Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$56.45
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick34cpaid+101.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.