TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$184,063
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$210,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $184,063 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes29c17,228$4,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,232.032326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No71c16,834$11,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,926.2610948.6%53 W · 56 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes29c14,560$4,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,346.679944.4%44 W · 55 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes61c12,444$7,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,884.481457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No71c12,143$8,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,621.382853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c10,688$4,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,493.233,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No69c9,875$6,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,825.514856.3%27 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No71c8,000$5,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,679.9624147.7%115 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes25c4,872$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,659.135230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes29c4,510$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,201.881338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c4,349$2,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,928.464,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes29c3,510$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,493.656764.2%43 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes29c3,464$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.941,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade6…63cbbacked Yes59c3,410$2,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No61c3,287$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.8618956.6%107 W · 82 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes76c2,737$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.3422753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4912…b76fbacked No70c2,496$1,747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,747.271952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes42c2,469$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.7792345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No41c2,417$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.2258548%281 W · 304 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No59c2,417$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.221950.2%110 W · 109 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Yes23c2,109$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.192040%8 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No65c2,005$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.611,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Yes29c1,981$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.396550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes23c1,344$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.3998833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked No36c1,317$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.9911159.5%66 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes29c1,235$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.883630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-33%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked No27c1,053$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.517024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes58c1,028$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.19728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-42.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7103053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed Yes29c949.95$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$674.471172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick48cpaid+62.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No71c830.15$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.4122448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c800.34$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.341,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No71c783$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.9347653.8%256 W · 220 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No71c762.5$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.541351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No40c680.81$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.8383640%334 W · 502 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No72c546.22$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.2810250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No72c541.12$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.64763.8%30 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Yes24c516.97$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.892634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-23.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No71c499$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.2983650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aba…a21ebacked Yes29c478.7$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.88933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No53c452.7$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.135145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b7…48d4backed Yes24c446.34$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.227031.4%22 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No75c400$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012050%60 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No71c393.43$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.334959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No40c385.66$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.234837.5%18 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed No71c370$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.79956.6%56 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bd2…fa7fbacked Yes20c352.8$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.66560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+54.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed No77c337.49$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.873253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d83…1669backed Yes29c330.14$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes29c330.14$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.42835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No68c327.83$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.7382844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Yes23c323.97$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.342222.7%5 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No53c309.92$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.9463553.1%337 W · 298 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3344…3698backed Yes31c309.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+74.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd194…24b8backed Yes30c302.53$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.771060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No75c297.52$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.141241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc826…fcb3backed Yes29c283.69$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.421957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+45.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No71c280.01$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.8148251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf342…a5e9backed Yes37c240.46$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.592326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-27.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c231.36$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.3675051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c231.06$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9469350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Yes25c230.79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+100.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes29c229.78$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.149634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xab7c…746dbacked Yes53c228.24$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1071323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-62.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbdc9…2095backed No73c214.88$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes56c213.84$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.0937829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdff7…8216backed Yes74c200.25$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.06650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf11a…d3e3backed No71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1422259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14463757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Yes21c190.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.512552%13 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No33c179.23$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9559555.5%330 W · 265 L+31.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes28c163.33$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.650249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Yes54c159.37$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.312441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x806a…62d7backed Yes26c158.82$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.992147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes41c157.44$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.231838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69cc…2e44backed Yes62c156.92$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa2…1973backed Yes25c152.8$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.610834.3%37 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes38c152.11$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.27946.8%37 W · 42 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No47c142.59$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.976440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No70c137.32$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1374457.5%428 W · 316 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed No76c136.98$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.673441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked No32c135.98$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.431723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No60c133.59$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.541348.7%201 W · 212 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Yes70c128.64$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.62933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-54.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2d3…aafbbacked Yes30c125.47$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.322138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes29c121$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9153242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Yes29c114.16$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.051752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70dc…1317backed No45c108.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.342657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked No52c103.47$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.57757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed No75c102.41$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.222934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes28c101.4$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0115344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7023455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No71c99.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7145250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0976…8f4ebacked Yes25c99.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.49450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+45.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe868…7c4fbacked Yes29c99.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.32540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9595…1b16backed No72c98.32$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.791471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No79c98.16$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.545570.9%39 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No77c97.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7523957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes61c96.06$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.4619652.6%103 W · 93 L-15.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes29c95.74$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.984231%13 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.