TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9595…1b16

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
179
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst F1 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT6360.3%38 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$24.62
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$33.31
Will Fulham FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$25.59
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.46
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$24.62
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.62
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$44.1
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$59.2
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$57.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$118
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+31.6%+$31.2
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$98.8
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$42
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$116
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$36.4
Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$102.7
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+33.3%+$35
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$35.2
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT1883.3%15 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+26.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.67
Will Sweden vs. Poland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$27.89
Will England vs. Japan end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$84.46
Will Lithuania vs. Georgia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will Japan win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$57
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$18.6
Will Brazil vs. France end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$26
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$31
Will Italy win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$23
All 18 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.76
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$24.62
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$78.08
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.51
Will Real Oviedo vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.79
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.5
Will Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$28.5
Will Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$26.56
Will RCD Mallorca vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.74
Will Levante UD vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$32.35
FC Barcelona vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$51.15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+55.1%+$108.35
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2025, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$225.7
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$225
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 6-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$57.7
Will Elon tweet 550 or more times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST-100%-$33.2
Will Trump tweet less than 5 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+257.1%+$36
Will Trump tweet less than 10 times Nov 15-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+581.4%+$508.39
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times November 15-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$89.94
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times November 15-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+107.3%+$304.84
Will Trump tweet 5-9 times Nov 8-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$90.9
Will Trump tweet 130 or more times Nov 1-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$181Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$181.28
Will Trump tweet 90 or more times Oct 25 - Nov 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$195.61
Will Elon tweet 400 or more times Oct 25 - Nov 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$743Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+54.7%+$406.7
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 10, 2024, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$341.07
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$299.74
Jazz vs. Bucksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$220
Timberwolves vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$260
Warriors vs. Celticsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+257.1%+$720
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST+42.9%+$150
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$157.49
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST+36.1%+$53
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$603Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$297
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EDT+43.5%+$91
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick76cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderibacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Peyton Stearns vs Janice Tjenbacked Peyton Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruudbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Ostrava: Max Schoenhaus vs Jay Clarkebacked Max Schoenhaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.74
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$22.68
Oeiras 4: Linda Klimovicova vs Yue Yuanbacked Linda Klimovicova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.74
Madrid Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$25.59
Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$19.76
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Petra Marcinkobacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$20.74
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2025, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick38cpaid-60.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2024, EST50%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-66.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick74cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dogecoin reach $0.50 before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$35.4
Dogecoin above $0.37 on November 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$636Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+104.4%+$663.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2024, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+38.9%+$280
Texans vs. Jetsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
'Wicked' grosses 2x more than 'Gladiator 2' on opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST+69.5%+$82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$156
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 23?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$30.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$86.11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.