TailMyPicks
Market

Serie A · resolved market

Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,242

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,027 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe348…a303backed Yes32c5,492$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,780650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No75c5,366$4,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.8568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes38c4,144$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.652,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No75c4,099$3,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.2798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No75c4,025$3,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.131833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No67c3,017$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.6396942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes27c2,214$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.853622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No76c1,809$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.013158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No46c1,435$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.0211964.7%77 W · 42 L+15.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes35c1,420$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dc1…e318backed Yes44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002250%11 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked Yes6c1,100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66130%0 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c2e…9e01backed Yes65c1,077$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c38…de5abacked No77c999.29$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.847055.7%39 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes55c908.78$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.8620431.4%64 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes69c898.33$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.8526241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes26c800$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20824939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No75c800$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20446047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes53c754.72$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes71c710.96$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5041656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick67cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked No36c661.78$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.099440.4%38 W · 56 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No49c654.22$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.131,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes25c574.42$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.621548.4%104 W · 111 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes51c562.72$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.2218951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Yes40c553.91$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2201637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb77e…e668backed Yes38c526.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002123.8%5 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.19per pick43cpaid-50%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No39c499.97$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.9815450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No47c498.86$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.3934643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes25c472$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1183732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa524…1252backed Yes25c440$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Yes7c400$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004136.6%15 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked No38c400$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2506550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1047830.8%24 W · 54 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed No55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1804866.7%32 W · 16 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f3c…615dbacked Yes72c398.43$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.87650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08ba…2a30backed No76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.744575.6%34 W · 11 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No76c390.94$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2944753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes25c389.75$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4440549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dce…b663backed No74c379.99$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.81782.4%14 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick71cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes56c350$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19631738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd1…00c9backed Yes80c342.5$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes44c330.47$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0549137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No60c294.9$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.339576.8%73 W · 22 L+20.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x149d…8d63backed Yes74c289.85$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No75c271$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7537250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes51c241.49$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.168744.8%39 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c6…9f2fbacked Yes49c212.57$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5038547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9595…1b16backed No54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1412…b6debacked No76c197.37$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c182.52$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.5893252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa060…0747backed Yes25c178$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.51145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed No75c175.74$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.934557.8%26 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No60c144$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2518858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Yes35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Yes50c124.7$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.372050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+32%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e80…787bbacked Yes57c123.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa996…e251backed Yes67c119.19$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8020%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No75c117.32$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3335646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No66c115$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.628445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes49c110.24$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.66349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb0…51d5backed No38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.26742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick64cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2526747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x051c…f25dbacked Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445632.1%18 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2611619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb227…127cbacked Yes47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b2…1c67backed Yes65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-36.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked No44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5615041.3%62 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9014…b6abbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked Yes61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd022…1856backed Yes26c95.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.79933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-51.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes25c93.43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3623245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No68c91.22$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.192250%11 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed Yes25c84.77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1910451%53 W · 51 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf677…409ebacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes26c76.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203327.3%9 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd6d…c504backed Yes65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7503…18f3backed Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+75.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No43c66.78$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.172458.3%14 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.21per pick38cpaid+52.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfa4d…9613backed No75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes26c66.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1720741.5%86 W · 121 L+0.9wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x232a…4cf9backed Yes26c65.31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0f…bbfebacked Yes73c60$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.51050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No44c58.75$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.946742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50c8…70bbbacked Yes36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4f6…dc27backed Yes27c54.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No68c52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6414936.2%54 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed No78c50.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.226744.8%30 W · 37 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8317529.1%51 W · 124 L-14.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135176.5%39 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked No23c50$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.512052.5%63 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc757…ccfcbacked Yes75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.510%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.53743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.532150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55143.1%22 W · 29 L-6.0wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-29%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.