TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd022…1856

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Golf, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.63
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.99
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.17
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.4
Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.13
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.76
Will the Los Angeles Lakers finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.67
Will the Phoenix Suns finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+334.8%+$47.51
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+132.6%+$20.01
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+86.1%+$16.84
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$16.41
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.02
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+150%+$30
76ers vs. Clippersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$53.27
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-87%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.77
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.45
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.43
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Arizona Wildcats vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.85
Alabama State Hornets vs. Southern Jaguarsbacked Alabama State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$19.66
Alcorn State Braves vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devilsbacked Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Florida A&M Rattlersbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Northwestern State Demons vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked Lamar Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.85
Xavier Musketeers vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.58
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-51.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21.74
Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.45
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$17.27
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. Parma Calcio 1913 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24.79
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 9 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+31.6%+$7.16
Will Finley Melville Ives (NZL) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Nick Goepper (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$26.73
Will Henry Sildaru (EST) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.82
Will Hunter Hess (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35.64
Will Gus Kenworthy (GBR) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$41.74
Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+156.4%+$43.57
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick42cpaid-71.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick46cpaid-80.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+981.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$16.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+108.7%+$161.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.