NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad3b8de405be41c442a81064cb73b347d6e164b110d11879b5b757bf094aec4d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Kraken, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $574,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $584,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $574,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 472 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Kraken | 41c | 364,833$151,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151,312.79 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Stars | 58c | 100,000$58,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,000 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Stars | 58c | 62,586$36,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,993.2 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Stars | 58c | 53,740$31,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,397.9 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stars | 59c | 39,560$23,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,219.6 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Stars | 59c | 29,320$17,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,021.2 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Kraken | 40c | 26,432$10,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,558.65 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Stars | 66c | 23,056$15,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,811.74 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Stars | 59c | 16,046$9,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,578.76 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Stars | 59c | 14,070$8,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,768.88 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked Stars | 59c | 12,880$7,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280.78 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Stars | 59c | 11,856$7,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,819.13 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Stars | 60c | 11,602$6,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,641.02 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stars | 59c | 11,203$6,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,586.46 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kraken | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.98 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Kraken | 40c | 9,631$3,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,828.49 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 60c | 8,225$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,274.83 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Stars | 59c | 8,000$4,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Stars | 60c | 6,763$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.14 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Stars | 60c | 6,700$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Stars | 59c | 6,345$3,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.25 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Stars | 60c | 5,261$3,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.91 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Kraken | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…0644backed Stars | 60c | 4,970$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kraken | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Stars | 60c | 4,598$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.29 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Kraken | 40c | 4,100$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.99 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Stars | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Kraken | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Kraken | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6943…29f1backed Stars | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…87edbacked Kraken | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed Kraken | 1c | 2,915$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Kraken | 40c | 2,523$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.12 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Kraken | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Stars | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Stars | 60c | 2,417$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.67 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221d…e800backed Stars | 67c | 2,222$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.45 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kraken | 26c | 2,190$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.75 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Stars | 58c | 2,124$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.13 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Kraken | 1c | 2,111$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kraken | 2c | 2,004$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Kraken | 12c | 2,004$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.45 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Stars | 65c | 1,872$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.29 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kraken | 20c | 1,834$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.97 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Stars | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Kraken | 37c | 1,630$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.94 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Kraken | 40c | 1,550$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Stars | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Stars | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Kraken | 41c | 1,400$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Kraken | 40c | 1,400$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.41 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Stars | 59c | 1,352$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.38 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Stars | 78c | 1,212$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.2 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Stars | 63c | 1,130$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.67 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stars | 62c | 1,110$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.74 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Stars | 59c | 1,100$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.47 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Kraken | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Stars | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Stars | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Kraken | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa289…2ac3backed Kraken | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…a08abacked Stars | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd3…bdbcbacked Kraken | 41c | 956.1$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Stars | 60c | 900$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 66c | 850$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbe…b84fbacked Stars | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 182 | 58.2%106 W · 76 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…b747backed Stars | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Stars | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Stars | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Stars | 60c | 795.58$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.23 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Stars | 60c | 750$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Kraken | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Kraken | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Kraken | 36c | 710$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.3 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Kraken | 26c | 655.69$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd97…776cbacked Stars | 65c | 615.77$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.77 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Stars | 60c | 599.94$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.98 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Stars | 62c | 598.17$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.72 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x157b…3096backed Stars | 60c | 576.87$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d98…4d2dbacked Stars | 60c | 523.33$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.33 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Kraken | 35c | 519.38$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.84 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Stars | 59c | 516.2$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.64 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…abe1backed Stars | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Stars | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Stars | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…c300backed Stars | 60c | 492.98$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kraken | 41c | 475.48$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.77 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45ac…c0c4backed Stars | 60c | 471.93$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.77 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…cfd8backed Stars | 60c | 457.03$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.81 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…c1c8backed Kraken | 37c | 442.39$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa3…b974backed Stars | 60c | 440.18$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…014ebacked Kraken | 41c | 439.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.28 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e5…604fbacked Stars | 60c | 424.43$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.77 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Stars | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Stars | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Stars | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Kraken | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e3…5e25backed Kraken | 41c | 398.54$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8950…e096backed Stars | 60c | 389.05$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Starsthis page
- Kraken vs. Stars: O/U 4.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Under won
- Kraken vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Kraken vs. Stars: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Stars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.