Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Louisville Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc70d3640c2df3b8832fedfc87d3c8b7fc294f47a491ebb53dde905c02fcda74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Louisville Cardinalsof North Carolina State Wolfpack, Louisville Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Louisville Cardinals | 75c | 70,772$53,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,443.08 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 25c | 21,775$5,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,484.08 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 24c | 21,074$5,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,057.83 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 25c | 19,394$4,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,893.59 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 27c | 8,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Louisville Cardinals | 72c | 5,483$3,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.16 | 123 | 64.2%79 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 25c | 3,002$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.91 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 24c | 2,208$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.85 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Louisville Cardinals | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.98 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Louisville Cardinals | 74c | 1,997$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.2 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x960e…77d6backed Louisville Cardinals | 73c | 1,849$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.32 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Louisville Cardinals | 73c | 1,787$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…b12dbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 17c | 1,448$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.54 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Louisville Cardinals | 74c | 1,394$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.44 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 26c | 1,159$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.24 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…7708backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 2c | 1,145$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 28c | 931$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.68 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 9c | 900$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 15c | 627.61$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 25c | 600$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 27c | 555.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 6c | 520.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 27c | 454.24$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 17c | 436.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.36 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 28c | 425.47$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.13 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 28c | 413.6$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.81 | 216 | 46.8%101 W · 115 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 23c | 395.21$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Louisville Cardinals | 76c | 395$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 4c | 320$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 191 | 38.2%73 W · 118 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9782…9630backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d2…66e9backed Louisville Cardinals | 72c | 294$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866e…7deabacked Louisville Cardinals | 72c | 260.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…ec67backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 28c | 255$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa55…06c0backed Louisville Cardinals | 71c | 236.11$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 11c | 224.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 28c | 223.42$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.56 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 27c | 199.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 23c | 188$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…d86bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x897c…abe8backed Louisville Cardinals | 73c | 183.89$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +83%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…eb6abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 7c | 172.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 157 | 33.1%52 W · 105 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd022…1856backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 13c | 153.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 28cpaid | -87%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Louisville Cardinals | 73c | 137.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Louisville Cardinals | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Louisville Cardinals | 72c | 136.81$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…c530backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 20c | 134$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Louisville Cardinals | 72c | 132.35$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 16c | 123.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Louisville Cardinals | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be4…9bf6backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 28c | 110.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7226…873dbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 13c | 104.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9091…3852backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 28c | 98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 29c | 90.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 29c | 87.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Louisville Cardinals | 76c | 85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 19c | 83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…8b71backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 29c | 72.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 28c | 71.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bf…bc57backed Louisville Cardinals | 73c | 67.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 26c | 63.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e8…9d12backed Louisville Cardinals | 73c | 62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 29c | 61.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 24c | 56.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed North Carolina State Wolfpack | 23c | 56.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x55e0…b88abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Louisville Cardinals | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…1d65backed Louisville Cardinals | 73c | 38.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 356 | 50.8%181 W · 175 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack | 28c | 35.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd5…5328backed Louisville Cardinals | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Louisville Cardinals | 74c | 30.3$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafc2…700bbacked Louisville Cardinals | 73c | 27.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9519…e0bcbacked Louisville Cardinals | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0b…0874backed Louisville Cardinals | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…6cb8backed Louisville Cardinals | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ec…f148backed Louisville Cardinals | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…bef2backed Louisville Cardinals | 73c | 24.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Louisville Cardinals | 68c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed Louisville Cardinals | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…92d5backed Louisville Cardinals | 73c | 19.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Louisville Cardinals | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc25a…f243backed Louisville Cardinals | 75c | 16.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 37 | 86.5%32 W · 5 L | +6.0wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…99ebbacked Louisville Cardinals | 73c | 16.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Louisville Cardinals | 74c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Louisville Cardinals | 75c | 13.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Louisville Cardinalsthis page
- Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-7.5)Louisville Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.