TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb9e5…eb6a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
191
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST15733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 157 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Terriers vs. Holy Cross Crusaders (W)backed Boston Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$135.58
Texas Longhorns vs. Missouri Tigersbacked Missouri Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$254.93
Memphis Tigers vs. Utah State Aggiesbacked Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$176.42
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$150.49
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Ole Miss Rebelsbacked Ole Miss Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$485.01
Western Carolina Catamounts vs. Chattanooga Mocsbacked Western Carolina Catamounts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+108.3%+$39
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,025Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,024.78
New Orleans Privateers vs. Houston Christian Huskiesbacked New Orleans Privateers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$27.54
Louisville Cardinals vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+35.1%+$45.68
Kansas State Wildcats vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Stanford Cardinal vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Stanford Cardinal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. James Madison Dukesbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$267
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$127
Kentucky Wildcats vs. Florida Gators: O/U 152.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.34
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Xavier Musketeersbacked Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+63.7%+$114.64
Penn State Nittany Lions vs. Oregon Ducksbacked Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+69.6%+$132.47
Villanova Wildcats vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+74%+$40.81
Elon Phoenix vs. William & Mary Tribebacked William & Mary Tribe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$231
SMU Mustangs vs. Syracuse Orangebacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$329.9
East Carolina Pirates vs. Rice Owlsbacked Rice Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$97.34
Central Connecticut State Blue Devils vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball State Cardinalsbacked Ball State Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Florida International Golden Panthersbacked Florida International Golden Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+113.6%+$193.18
North Dakota State Bison vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawksbacked North Dakota Fighting Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$27.77
Showing 25 of 157 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$38.29
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+72.3%+$270.69
76ers vs. Trail Blazersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$824Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$823.74
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$431.4
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$156
Heat vs. Wizardsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+40.8%+$14.3
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Jazz vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+733.3%+$132
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$215.85
Clippers vs. Kingsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+77.6%+$279.24
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$84.34
76ers vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+54.9%+$214.06
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Cavaliers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$174.31
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$113.16
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$42.34
Nets vs. Pistonsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-74.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-02-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+92.3%+$110.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sweden vs. Slovakia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+78.6%+$30.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-02-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+64.1%+$58.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.